Epoxy resins

MUMBAI (ICIS)–India’s DCM Shriram plans to acquire specialty chemicals producer Hindusthan Specialty Chemicals Ltd (HSCL) for Indian rupees (Rs) 3.75 billion ($44 million). “This move positions DCM Shriram for strategic expansion into the advanced materials segment, unlocking synergies with its existing chemicals portfolio,” the company said in a disclosure to the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) on 12 June. The acquisition of HSCL is expected to be completed by September, it added. HSCL has a facility at Jhagadia in the western Gujarat state which is located close to DCM Shriram’s existing chemicals complex. This will allow for quick integration and growth, DCM said. Apart from a 17,000 tonne/year liquid epoxy resin unit, HSCL also produces reactive diluents, hardeners, formulated resins and other products used in the aerospace, electronics, renewable energy, electric vehicles and defence sectors at the site. “This acquisition is a pivotal step in our chemicals growth strategy and a catalyst for DCM Shriram’s entry into advanced materials, which offers robust forward integration with our chlor-alkali platform, while positioning us at the intersection of India’s expanding presence in sunrise sectors like renewables, mobility, and aerospace,” DCM Shriram chairman and managing director Ajay Shriram said. DCM Shriram is a chlor-alkali producer in India with a combined production capacity of nearly 1 million tonnes/year at Jhagadia in Gujarat, and Kota in Rajasthan. In February 2024, the company had announced plans to invest Rs10 billion to set up a greenfield epoxy resins manufacturing plant. Separately, the company expects to begin operations at its 51,000 tonne/year epichlorohydrin (ECH) plant soon, a company source said. “The commissioning of the ECH plant has been delayed due to an issue in one of the equipment and was addressed by our technology suppliers,” he said. The ECH plant will be commissioned in phases, with the first phase of operations expected to begin this month, the company source said. ($1 = Rs86.05)

16-Jun-2025

LONDON (ICIS)–Here are some of the top stories from ICIS Europe for the week ended 13 June. ESA ’25: Global sulphuric acid market seeking clarity on H2 supply securityOffer pricing remains stable-to-firm across the global sulphuric acid market as Q2 nears its end – although market players’ views are sharply divided on the supply outlook for the second half of 2025. Europe PS and EPS markets face long supply as demand remains stableEuropean polystyrene (PS) and expandable polystyrene (EPS) markets are navigating a landscape characterized by long supply conditions and stable demand, which is expected to continue unchanged into Q3. Verbio to start up renewable chemicals plant next yearVerbio’s ethenolysis plant under construction in Germany is expected to start up in 2026, a company official told ICIS. Europe June epoxy stable to soft; summer could weigh on pricesEurope epoxy resins price discussions have been relatively stable for June so far,  but with some softening here and there, with ongoing margin challenges counterbalanced by subdued fundamentals. European jet fuel prices extend gains as demand recovers, capping supply dragEuropean jet fuel prices extended gains in the week to 11 June in response to a pick up in buying interest as seasonal demand gets underway. Markets slump, oil soars in wake of Iran strikesEurope chemicals stocks and equities markets fell in morning trading on Friday in the wake of Israel’s missile strikes across Iran, including nuclear facilities, with the prospect of additional attacks chilling sentiment.

16-Jun-2025

SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Here are the top stories from ICIS News Asia and the Middle East for the week ended 13 June 2025. Asia-Europe VAM trade expansion driven by outages, US tariffs By Hwee Hwee Tan 13-Jun-25 15:01 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Vinyl acetate monomer exports from Asia to Europe are on track for expansion during the second quarter, spurred by a push among traders to take positions before a regulatory quota waiving duties for imports into Europe is exhausted. Crude climbs more than 8% after Israeli strikes against targets in Iran By James Dennis 13-Jun-25 12:33 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Crude prices surged, with Brent peaking nearly $9/barrel higher early on Friday, after Israel attacked targets in Iran, raising fears of a major escalation in conflict in the Middle East and resultant disruptions to crude production and exports from that region. INSIGHT: India’s BIS deadline may reshape global PVC trade landscape By Aswin Kondapally 11-Jun-25 14:00 MUMBAI (ICIS)–India is at a critical juncture in determining whether to implement or extend its Quality Control Orders (QCO) for polyvinyl chloride (PVC) resin sales under the Bureau of Indian Standards (BIS) Act, with the compliance deadline set for 24 June 2025. Asia crude glycerine offers fall as downstream ECH weakens in China By Helen Yan 12-Jun-25 11:42 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Offers for crude glycerine in Asia declined, weighed down by weakness in downstream epichlorohydrin (ECH) market and bearish sentiment. ICIS China Petrochemical Price index May average falls on weak demand By Yvonne Shi 11-Jun-25 13:48 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China's average petrochemical prices in May eased by 0.62% month on month as easing trade war concerns was offset by continued weakness in demand. Indian refineries plan green hydrogen projects worth Rs2 trillion By Priya Jestin 11-Jun-25 12:24 MUMBAI (ICIS)–India is currently planning green hydrogen initiatives worth around Indian rupees (Rs) 2 trillion ($23 billion), which include tenders for 42,000 tonne/year green hydrogen production by domestic oil refineries. INSIGHT: India’s BIS deadline may reshape global PVC trade landscape By Aswin Kondapally 11-Jun-25 14:00 MUMBAI (ICIS)–India is at a critical juncture in determining whether to implement or extend its Quality Control Orders (QCO) for polyvinyl chloride (PVC) resin sales under the Bureau of Indian Standards (BIS) Act, with the compliance deadline set for 24 June 2025. China vessel age limit stalls prompt trades with India By Hwee Hwee Tan 11-Jun-25 13:04 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Prompt chemical tanker supply on China’s southbound trade lanes is expected to shrink following regulatory restrictions, constraining spot trades especially with India. INSIGHT: Hydrogen unlocking China's cement decarbonization potential By Patricia Tao 10-Jun-25 17:58 As China steps up efforts to meet its dual carbon targets, hydrogen is becoming a practical and strategic tool to cut emissions from the country’s highly carbon-intensive cement industry. INSIGHT: Countdown to China benzene futures debut: how will it affect the market? By Jenny Yi 10-Jun-25 17:11 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–On 14 May, the Dalian Commodity Exchange (DCE) issued a notice to solicit public opinions on proposed futures and options contracts for benzene along with the relevant rules. The deadline for feedback was 21 May 2025, marking the countdown to the launch of benzene futures and options in China. China's US exports to rebound on front-loading before Aug By Nurluqman Suratman 10-Jun-25 13:49 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China's exports to the US are expected to rebound in June as exporters ramp up frontloading efforts before the 90-day trade truce between the two global economic superpowers expires in August. Asia, Mideast petrochemical markets brace for tough summer By Jonathan Yee 09-Jun-25 11:16 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Tariff concerns and ample supply continue to exert pressure on petrochemical markets in both Asia and the Middle East, with regional demand staying weak, with consumption in India unlikely to pick up until September. INSIGHT: China polyester sector sees production cuts; tight supply boosts PTA/MEG By Cindy Qiu 09-Jun-25 12:00 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China’s polyester producers are facing mounting cost pressure, as domestic purified terephthalic acid (PTA) and monoethylene glycol (MEG) prices reaped large gains after the Labour Day holiday (1-5 May 2025) on the back of tight supply.

16-Jun-2025

COLORADO SPRINGS, Colorado (ICIS)–A new regulatory threat for the US chemical industry is emerging from the alignment of two wings of the nation's main political parties, which could use what critics describe as pseudoscience to adopt restrictive and unneeded policies. The two wings are what the American Chemistry Council (ACC) described as the one in the Democratic party aligned with nongovernmental organizations (NGOs) and the one in the Republican party aligned with the MAHA movement. MAHA stands for Make American Healthy Again, and it is a motto coined by Robert Kennedy Jr, the secretary of the US Department of Health and Human Services. Short term, any new policies will likely arise in states because the current federal administration has imposed a high threshold for new regulations. POSSIBLE STATE-LEVEL THREATS FROM NEW HEALTH REGULATIONSWhile new regulations could arise on the state level, those policies could draw some inspiration from the federal government through the so-called MAHA Report issued by the US Department of Health and Human Services. The first pages of the report highlight "aggregation of environmental chemicals" as one of the four areas that could address what it described as a rise in childhood chronic diseases. The report includes a 12-page section entitled "the cumulative load of chemicals in our environment". Instead of recommending policy, the MAHA report calls for more research in the following chemistries: Per-and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS). These are used to make fluorochemicals and fluoropolymers Microplastics Fluoride salt added to water to prevent tooth decay Phthalates that are used to make plasticizers Bisphenols that are used to make polycarbonate (PC) and epoxy resins Pesticides, herbicides and insecticides. The report mentioned glyphosate and atrazine The report also singled out the following classes of chemicals, as shown in the following table: Heavy Metals Waterborne Contaminants Air Pollutants Industrial Residues Pesticides Persistent Organic Pollutants Endocrine-Disrupting Chemicals Physical Agents Source: US Department of Health and Human Services It must be noted that the report explicitly rejects the EU's REACH regulatory system. Even if the report did propose new regulations, they would have to reach a high threshold. The administration of US President Donald Trump said it will require 10 federal regulations to be removed for every new one introduced. However, a new administration could adopt regulations based on the report after Trump's term of office ends in four years. US states do not have to wait for Trump to leave office to adopt regulation that address the issues raised in the report. Already, the states of Florida and Utah have banned fluoride from public water. CHEM INDUSTRY ALREADY RESEARCHING CONCERNS RAISED BY REPORTThe ACC stressed that it supports making the nation healthy. "Everyone supports that. We support it," American Chemistry Council (ACC) CEO Chris Jahn said. He made his comments on the sidelines of the ACC Annual Meeting. With that in mind, the two share the same goals. "We look forward to working with them to make sure that we keep everyone safe, especially children," Jahn said. Moreover, he said the ACC has conducted research on many of the report's concerns, and research is its main call for action. The ACC said its Long-Range Research Initiative (LRI) is focused on ways to assess chemicals for safety. It has also invested in research in microplastics, Jahn said. The federal government already addresses many of the report's concerns under its agencies, such as the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), Jahn said. The Food and Drug Administration (FDA) regulates food contact and food contamination. As it stands, Jahn said the chemical industry is the most heavily regulated manufacturing sector, and its regulatory burden has doubled in the past 20 years. Regulation is appropriate, but it must be risk-based, science-based and fact-based, Jahn said. "Sound science and sound process leads to sound regulation." NEW REGULATIONS ON HOLD WITH NEW PRESIDENTThe surge of new regulations that characterized the term of the previous president has ended with Trump's inauguration, but that was expected because it happens every time a new president takes office, Jahn said. "They freeze everything in place so they can evaluate what's in the queue, so there's nothing new there. Every president does that." As the administration gets settled in, it may need to adopt new regulations to achieve policy goals. If the administration does propose new regulations, the ACC has proposed existing rules it could purge and that would count multiple times in meeting the 10-rule threshold. One such regulation is the plastics significant new use rule (SNUR), Jahn said. "We've given them a list of over 30 regulations that they could take a fresh look at," Jahn said. "We have plenty of suggestions and opportunities for them to address the 10 for one." The ACC Annual Meeting ran through Wednesday. Insight article by Al Greenwood Thumbnail image: Texas flag. (Source: Westlight)

05-Jun-2025

COLORADO SPRINGS, Colorado (ICIS)–Uncertainty surrounding tariffs is tempering what could be a recovery in US demand for polypropylene (PP), executives at Braskem said on Wednesday. Uncertainty about the final makeup of tariffs and their effects on end markets have caused consumers and companies to delay purchases, said Alexandre Elias, vice president, PP, North America and Europe, Braskem. Elias made his comments in an interview with ICIS on the sidelines of the annual meeting of the American Chemistry Council (ACC). Companies are reluctant to build inventories and make investments – especially industrial PP customers that have long investment cycles, Elias said. TARIFFS HAVE COUNTERVAILING EFFECTS ON AUTOAutomobiles are one of the main end markets for PP, and the tariffs have had mixed effects on production, contributing to the uncertainty of PP demand from the sector. The US has imposed tariffs on imports of automobiles and auto parts, which could ultimately stimulate local production and PP demand. Prior to those tariffs, consumers splurged on automobiles to beat the tariffs. All of that pre-buying lowered inventories of US autos, said Bill Diebold, vice president – commercial, Braskem America, polyolefins. US producers will ultimately replenish those inventories, which will further increase auto output and PP demand. On the other hand, consumer confidence has fallen after the introduction of the tariffs and that tends to slow demand growth for automobiles and other durable goods that are made with PP. Chinese restrictions on shipments of rare earth magnets could cause some automobile companies to shut down production within weeks if they cannot find workarounds, according to an article from the Wall Street Journal, a business publication. The US recently increased its tariffs on imports of steel and aluminium to 50% from 25%, which would increase production costs for US automobiles and potentially make them less affordable. The future of the tariffs themselves is uncertain because the US frequently changes the rates. It could impose new tariffs, and the courts could rule that the US lacks authority to impose them under a key provision. The interactions of all of these variables make it difficult to forecast PP demand from the US automobile industry, Elias said. PP DEMAND REMAINS FLAT YEAR ON YEARIn the US, PP demand is up in Q2 versus Q1 but flat year on year, Diebold said. Similarly demand improved in Q1 versus Q4, the latter of which was a challenging time for the US market, Diebold said. Packaging, another major end market for PP, remains strong. PP is enjoying a boost from a wave of product substitutions, Elias said. Over the years, many polystyrene (PS) processors have switched to PP because of its price. Many of those substitutions have played out, but a smaller wave is now taking place. That said, uncertainty could be capping the potential of product substitutions from other processors. LPG RESTRICTIONS TO CHINA COULD ALTER PP TRADE FLOWSGlobal trade flows of PP could change significantly if the US restricts exports of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) to China. China relies heavily on US LPG shipments to provide feedstock for its large fleet of propane dehydrogenation (PDH) units, which produce on-purpose propylene. The US already has imposed restrictions on exports of ethane to China, which would disrupt a few ethane crackers in the country. If trade tensions rise, it could expand the restrictions to cover LPG. Global markets got a taste of the ramifications of restricted LPG shipments earlier this year when China increased tariffs on US imports by triple digits. Had China maintained those increases, Chinese propylene production would likely fall, according to ICIS. China could still procure LPG from exporters from other parts of the world, but that would increase costs and make some production uncompetitive. Lower Chinese propylene production would have a cascading effect. It could lower domestic production of PP and cut down on Chinese exports to other parts of Asia. That, in turn, could allow domestic Asian producers to sell more material locally, allowing them to be less aggressive about exporting PP, Elias said. "This could have a significant impact on trade flows globally," Elias said. In fact, restrictions on US LPG shipments to China would likely have a bigger effect on PP trade flows then actual tariffs on the resin. So far, the introduction of US tariffs has had little direct effect on US PP, because the market is relatively balanced. In 2023 and 2024, apparent consumption was about 85% of total production in the US, according to the ICIS Supply and Demand Database. Braskem does have an option to export PP from a terminal in Charleston, South Carolina, but this terminal functions more as a way to take advantage of arbitrage opportunities and leverage its PP plants in North America, Elias said. As an option, it has worked well. LITTLE NEED FOR NEW PROPYLENE CAPACITYBraskem relies on third parties for propylene for its PP plants in the US. So far, there is no need for Braskem to build its own propylene capacity, Elias said. The US is long in propylene, as illustrated by the global competitiveness of its exports, he said While Braskem has relied on propylene imports from Canada, trade tensions between it and the US have eased. Were trade tensions to resume and cause an increase in tariffs, Braskem could manage around it, Elias said. The ACC Annual Meeting runs through Wednesday. Focus article by Al Greenwood Thumbnail shows a product made with PP. Image by Shutterstock.

04-Jun-2025

SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Click here to see the latest blog post on Asian Chemical Connections by John Richardson. Is the petrochemicals industry really a free market? Or have we been telling ourselves a comforting fiction? As we sift through margins, P&Ls, and operating rates to predict a recovery, we might be asking the wrong questions. Let’s rewind to 2014. While China’s state media signalled a major push toward self-sufficiency in petrochemicals, many Western analysts dismissed it — seeing China through the lens of profit maximisation. But I was told way back in 2000 that China’s strategy had just as much to do with jobs and economic value creation as with profits. Fast forward to today: polyester fibres, , polyethylene terephthalate (PET) film and bottle grade resins, purified terephthalic acid (PTA), styrene and polypropylene (PP),— China is nearly or completely self-sufficient in these markets. The drivers? National security, supply certainty, and industrial policy. And it’s not just China. Middle East investments — underpinned by cheap feedstocks, state ownership, and now oil demand substitution — follow similar, non-market logic. If key players haven’t been led by market signals alone, what happens next? Despite the deepest downturn in petrochemical history — likely to stretch into 2028 — new capacities keep rising. Not from those chasing short-term profit, but from those with long-term, state-backed agendas. Just a modest rise in China’s PP operating rates above the ICIS base case assumption could flip China into being a net exporter by 2027. The trade war may play a role here, as it has increased supply security concerns. True, there are more private petrochemical companies in China than ten years ago. But this latest wave of investment is more state-owned-enterprise-led than the previous one. And private companies can also benefit from local and central government support Saudi investments in refinery-to-petrochemicals will persist. More ethane crackers in the Middle East will be built. China’s plant-build costs are often 50%+ lower than the U.S., thanks to relentless innovation support. So… what does this mean for producers operating on pure market terms? Can they survive, let alone thrive, in a landscape shaped by strategic ambition rather than shareholder return? Your thoughts are welcome. Let’s start the conversation. Editor’s note: This blog post is an opinion piece. The views expressed are those of the author, and do not necessarily represent those of ICIS.

04-Jun-2025

SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Here are the top stories from ICIS News Asia and the Middle East for the week ended 30 May. Thailand’s GC deepens focus on specialties amid overcapacity – CEO By Nurluqman Suratman 26-May-25 11:16 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Thailand's PTT Global Chemical (GC) is deepening its commitments to feedstock flexibility, high-value specialty and bio-based & green chemicals, as CEO Narongsak Jivakanun urges regional coordination within ASEAN to tackle global supply chain disruptions and overcapacity. INSIGHT: Asia oxo-alcohols prices expected to face downward pressure in H2 2025 By Lina Xu 26-May-25 12:00 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Asia’s oxo-alcohols market is forecast to face significant downward pricing pressure in the second half of 2025, driven by rapid capacity expansion in China and an uncertain recovery in downstream demand. Asia fatty alcohol mid-cuts demand to soften as feedstock PKO declines By Helen Yan 27-May-25 11:18 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Asia fatty alcohols market may see a further softening in demand as buyers hold back their purchases, given the decline in the feedstock palm kernel oil (PKO) costs in the past month. INSIGHT: China's polyolefins demand shifts towards domestic consumption due to export uncertainty By Amy Yu 27-May-25 12:00 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China’s polyolefins demand for 2025 is expected to reach 85 million tonnes, up by 3% year on year, driven by the domestic market in the face of the uncertain outlook of China-US trade negotiations. UPDATE: Japan's Asahi Kasei to discontinue MMA, CHMA, PMMA, SB latex businesses By Nurluqman Suratman 27-May-25 15:42 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Japanese chemicals major Asahi Kasei on Tuesday said that it will be discontinuing its businesses for methyl methacrylate (MMA) monomer, cyclohexyl methacrylate (CHMA), polymethyl methacrylate (PMMA) resin and styrene-butadiene (SB) latex. Singapore April chemicals output down 3.2%; H2 2025 outlook firm By Jonathan Yee 27-May-25 15:26 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Singapore's chemicals production declined 3.2% year on year in April amid tariff-led front-loading, official data showed on 26 May, while a pause in 'reciprocal' tariffs could support further growth in H2 2025. ASEAN leaders voice 'deep concerns' over US tariffs By Nurluqman Suratman 28-May-25 11:19 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Southeast Asian leaders at the 46th ASEAN Summit in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia have voiced "deep concern" over the US' recent move to impose unilateral sweeping tariffs. INSIGHT: India PVC imports brace for monsoon dip, but policy twists could stir the market By Aswin Kondapally 30-May-25 10:02 MUMBAI (ICIS)–India’s Polyvinyl chloride (PVC) imports are expected to moderate in the coming months due to seasonal patterns, as monsoon conditions typically dampen demand from key sectors such as construction and agriculture.

02-Jun-2025

SAO PAULO (ICIS)–Brazil's foreign trade committee Gecex has postponed a meeting where it was expected to decide on imposing antidumping duties (ADDs) polyethylene (PE) imports from the US and Canada. The decision has created uncertainty in the country's PE market, which widely expected the ADDs to be implemented from June. In a note on its website, Gecex stated the “meeting will be rescheduled” but offered no further details. A spokesperson for Gecex said to ICIS it did not have any further information to offer. Gecex's meeting this week planned to discuss its investigation into allegations by Braskem, Brazil's sole PE producer, that US and Canadian producers are exporting PE to Brazil below fair market value. According to market sources, Braskem had already been communicating to customers price increases on the back of the expected ADDs. A Braskem spokesperson later confirmed on Friday that Braskem's PE prices would roll over in June from May. Earlier this week, Gecex increased ADDs on US polyvinyl chloride (PVC) from from 8.2% to 43.7%. Gecex is also investigating potential polyethylene terephthalate (PET) dumping from Malaysia and Vietnam, following ADDs proposals by Indorama and Alpek. The plastics transformation sector in Brazil said ADDs in place and those potentially implemented in the near future increase costs for all major thermoplastic resins, raising input costs for manufacturers. Meanwhile, the trade group representing producers Abiquim said the low operating rates across the country’s chemical plants were partly a result of unfair global competition, and fully supported ADDs being imposed on US and Canadian PE. Front page picture: Port of Santos in Sao Paulo, Latin America’s largest Source: Port of Santos Authority (recasts, adds paragraph 7 with comment from Braskem; clarifies last paragraph)

28-May-2025

SAO PAULO (ICIS)–Brazil has approved plans to raise antidumping duties (ADDs) on polyvinyl chloride (PVC) imports from the US from 8.2% to 43.7%. The decision, taken late Tuesday, implements one of Brazil’s highest ADDs rates. The sharp hike in duties was taken after a proposal filed in 2024 by local polymers major Braskem and caustic soda and chlorine derivatives producer Unipar, Brazil’s main PVC producers. “The proposal to increase in ADDs applied to imports of suspension polyvinyl chloride (PVC) resin originating in the US was granted, due to a change in circumstances, from 8.2% to 43.7%,” said Gecex, Brazil's body in charge of foreign trade. Gecex is also investigating potential polyethylene (PE) dumping from the US, a proposal brought forward by Braskem, as well as potential polyethylene terephthalate (PET) dumping from Malaysia and Vietnam, following proposals by Indorama and Alpek. The plastics transformation sector in Brazil has said ADDs in place and those potentially implemented in the near future are increasing costs for all major thermoplastic resins, raising input costs for manufacturers. Unsurprisingly, the trade group representing producers Abiquim has said the fears about higher costs due to ADDs “do not hold up” when taking into account a beleaguered chemicals production sector with historic low operating rates.

28-May-2025

SAO PAULO (ICIS)–Fears within the Brazilian manufacturing sector about rising input costs and higher inflation if antidumping duties (ADDs) are imposed on US and Canadian polyethylene (PE) “do not hold up” when taking into account a beleaguered chemicals production sector, according to trade group Abiquim. A spokesperson for the trade group, which largely represents the chemicals producing side, said the low operating rates across the country’s chemical plants were partly a result of unfair global competition, and fully supported ADDs being imposed on US and Canadian PE. Brazil’s government body for foreign trade, the Foreign Trade Chamber (Gecex), is to meet on 29 May to take a decision on the matter. The investigation into possible PE dumping by the US and Canada started in November after a proposal by local polymers major Braskem, which has a commanding voice in Abiquim. “The narrative that specific anti-dumping duties, applied to correct unfair trade operations, could pose inflationary risks in the plastics processing production chain and affect production levels in the economy as a whole, simply does not hold up, given that Brazil is a price taker in thermoplastic resins (i.e. it follows variations in the international market),” said Abiquim. “[Moreover] There is an average idle capacity of 36% in the Brazilian chemicals sector (data from 2024) that can be reversed with the implementation of ADDs. Trade defence investigations in Brazil follow a rigorous and technical procedure, focusing on determining dumping margins, damage to the domestic industry and the causal link between the two.” If those technical parameters are met, Gecex will implement the ADDs “in the interest” of the country, adding that the ADDs would strictly follow World Trade Organization (WTO) rules regarding unfair trade. “Allowing dumping is not justified by any reason, since it allows the distortion of international trade rules, allowing the sale of products often below production cost only to aggressively capture the market,” added Abiquim. GROWING PROTECTIONISMHowever, trade groups representing import-heavy manufacturing companies, in a country where half of chemicals demand is covered by imports, have warned that those ADDs and other protectionist measures implemented by Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva’s administration increase input costs and, ultimately, inflation. The truth is that Lula’s cabinet does listen to industrial producers. The main constituency of the president’s Workers’ Party (PT) is industrial workers, and the health of manufacturing employment is key for its electoral prospects. As the 2026 general election looms, those voters may consider their support for the PT if manufacturing, which already came late to the post-pandemic recovery compared with other sectors, starts faltering again in 2025. This is precisely the argument from the other side. Increasing costs manufacturers could their hit their activity and ultimately employment in manufacturing as a whole could be negatively affected. In a written statement to ICIS this week, Jose Ricardo Roriz, president of the trade group representing plastic transformers Abiplast, reaffirmed his opposition to protectionist measures which increase costs for importers. But that side of the argument has so far failed to turn its lobbying into concrete actions. Since he took office in January 2023, Lula’s cabinet has approved most of the protectionist measures chemical producers demanded. In 2023, it reintroduced a tax break for the purchase of inputs by chemical companies, called REIQ, which was withdrawn by the previous center-right administration. In 2024, the administration re-imposed ADDs on US-origin PP and approved higher import tariffs on dozens of chemicals. Meanwhile, Gecex is investigating another proposal to implement ADDs on polyvinyl chloride (PVC), a proposal by Braskem and caustic soda and chlorine derivatives producer Unipar. In April, Gecex also began a probe into potential polyethylene terephthalate (PET) dumping from Malaysia and Vietnam, a proposal brought forward by Indorama and Alpek. Brazil’s Congress is currently debating a bill contemplating state subsidies or credit lines at a favorable rate for chemicals companies, called Presiq. If approved, the program could be the “savior” of struggling chemicals producers, according to Abiquim's director general Andre Passos in an interview with ICIS.

28-May-2025