Oleochemicals

LONDON (ICIS)–Europe adipic acid and downstream nylon 6,6 markets face bleak prospects for demand in December, followed by a broadly flat outlook in 2025, with overall weak consumption from key derivative markets. Over the past few months, very slow demand and ample supply have continued to dominate European markets alongside rising costs of production. In this latest podcast, ICIS editors Meeta Ramnani and Marta Fern share the latest developments and expectations for what lies ahead. Seasonal destocking to weaken buying interest further in December Demand could stay low in 2025; recovery depends on macroeconomic factors Q1 2025 could bring restocking; its magnitude unclear Asian adipic acid import volumes likely to increase in Q1

21-Nov-2024

SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Avantium has signed a multi-year collaboration agreement to pilot the production of polylactic-co-glycolic acid (PLGA) from carbon dioxide (CO2), with Thai producer SCG Chemicals (SCGC), the Netherlands-based circular polymer materials firm said on Wednesday. PLGA is a biodegradable, recyclable polyester which is an alternative for conventional fossil-based polyesters. "Under this agreement, SCGC will provide support for all stages of technology development," Avantium said in a statement. Financial details of the deal were not disclosed. "Additionally, SCGC will work with Avantium on developing various PLGA applications, aiming to bring these sustainable solutions to market." Avantium and SCGC have spent the past year exploring the properties of PLGA to perfect its formulation for large-scale polymer applications, with a focus on barrier properties, recyclability, and environmental impact. As part of the collaboration, Avantium grants SCGC an option to negotiate license deal to utilize its Volta technology, including PLGA production, within southeast Asia. Avantium’s Volta technology uses electrochemistry to convert CO2 to high-value products and chemical building blocks including glycolic acid. Glycolic acid, combined with lactic acid, can be used to produce PLGA polyester in existing manufacturing assets.

20-Nov-2024

SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Here are the top stories from ICIS News Asia and the Middle East for the week ended 8 November. Oil up by more than $1/bbl as OPEC+ delays output hike By Jonathan Yee 04-Nov-24 12:46 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Oil prices rose by more than $1/barrel on Monday as oil cartel OPEC and its allies (OPEC+) delayed a planned December production increase by a month, and amid fears of an escalating conflict between Iran and Israel. India petrochemical demand enters seasonal lull post-holiday By Jonathan Yee 04-Nov-24 13:26 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Oversupply and higher freight costs are driving down petrochemicals demand in India, with trades likely to remain subdued after the Diwali holidays. Saudi SABIC cuts 2024 capex; higher-margin investments eyed By Nurluqman Suratman 05-Nov-24 17:17 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Saudi petrochemical giant SABIC has lowered its capital expenditure (capex) guidance for 2024 as it prioritizes investments in higher-margin opportunities to mitigate overcapacity in the face of poor global demand. Oil prices fall more than $1/barrel ahead of US election results By Nurluqman Suratman 06-Nov-24 15:32 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Crude oil prices fell by more than $1/barrel on Wednesday in Asia following a rally in the US dollar as polls in the 2024 US presidential elections closed. INSIGHT: Asia faces tariff hikes after Trump's re-election By Nurluqman Suratman 07-Nov-24 14:40 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Donald Trump's re-election as US president sets the stage for economic turbulence in Asia as regional businesses brace for significant increases in US tariffs. INSIGHT: Trump’s win to hit China economy as decoupling intensifies By Fanny Zhang 07-Nov-24 17:32 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Donald Trump’s return to the White House could intensify trade frictions with China, fostering decoupling of the world’s two biggest economies, with Chinese exporters looking at making advance shipments to the US before new tariffs are imposed. PODCAST: China oxo-alcohols output to hit record high on new capacities By Claire Gao 07-Nov-24 19:00 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China's oxo-alcohols market will face a supply glut in the face of intensive new plant start-ups and tepid downstream demand. China Oct exports rise 12.7% as tariff fears spur frontloading By Jonathan Yee 08-Nov-24 12:56 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China's exports surged 12.7% year on year to $309 billion in October, driven by low base effects and a rush to ship goods ahead of a potential wave of tariffs from Donald Trump’s renewed US presidency.

11-Nov-2024

SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China's oxo-alcohols market will face a supply glut in the face of intensive new plant start-ups and tepid downstream demand. Net import volumes may plunge in the short term because of overseas plant turnarounds and rising domestic supply, whether this can sustain depends on overseas plant operations and import arbitrage opportunities. In this latest podcast, ICIS editors Claire Gao and Jady Ma share the latest developments and expectations for what lies ahead. New oxo-alcohols capacities hit 1.3 million tonnes/year in July-Oct 2024 Oxo-alcohols supply to rise steadily in short term on few maintenance outages Oxo-alcohols net imports to decline on overseas plant turnarounds, rising domestic output

07-Nov-2024

HOUSTON (ICIS)–Celanese plans to cut its quarterly dividend by 95% in Q1 2025 and idle plants in every region after third-quarter adjusted earnings fell well below guidance, the US-based acetyls and engineered materials producer said on Monday. Q3 adjusted earnings/share were $2.44 versus an earlier guidance of $2.75-3.00. Celanese shares were down by more than 13% in afterhours trading. Celanese is taking the following steps to cut down debt: It will temporarily idle plants in every region to reduce manufacturing costs through the end of 2024 It expects to generate an expected $200 million inventory release in the fourth quarter. The idling includes 10 sites in the company's Engineered Materials segment. In the first half of the fourth quarter, Celanese has temporarily idled the company's Singapore production of acetic acid, vinyl acetate monomer (VAM), esters and vinyl acetate emulsions (VAE). In Frankfurt, Germany, the company is idling its VAM plant and plans to use it as swing capacity to meet demand. It will start a program to reduce costs by more than $75 million by the end of 2025. The cost cutting will target selling, general and administrative (SG&A) expenses. It will target $400 million in 2025 capital expenditures, a figure below 2024 levels. It will close on a 364-day delayed draw prepayable term loan for up to $1 billion. It will draw on the term loan in Q1 2025 towards $1.3 billion in maturing debt. TOUGH THIRD QUARTERThe plant shutdowns, dividend reduction and cost cutting follow a third quarter that saw demand degrade rapidly and acutely in automobiles and industrial end markets. "Auto in Europe and North America experienced a shock to the demand patterns that had been relatively steady for the previous several quarters, with swift sales declines in both regions that led to a pullback in auto builds," said Scott Richardson, chief operating officer. Demand remained slow in Asia but did not show the same trajectory as the Americas. The company noted that prices in China for undifferentiated nylon polymer reflects supply that is growing faster than demand. Demand remained weak in paints, coatings and construction. New capacity for VAM came online and outpaced demand, amplifying the weakness in construction as well as in solar panels. Excess inventories in solar panels is weakening demand for ethylene vinyl acetate (EVA). The weakness more than offset the gains that Celanese made from its synergy projects in its Mobility and Materials (M&M) acquisition and from its acetic acid expansion project in Clear Lake, Texas. WORSE FOURTH QUARTERQ4 destocking in the automotive and industrial end markets should be heavier than normal, and Celanese expects demand to worsen in the fourth quarter. The destocking should be temporary and contained in the quarter. In Engineered Materials, Celanese expects a $40 million hit from the destocking. Another $15 million hit will come from seasonal declines associated with product mix. A further $15 million will come from temporarily idling capacity in the segment. For acetyls, Celanese is not seeing any indications of demand growth in anticipation of the first quarter or as a result of stimulus from China. For the company, Q4 adjusted earnings/share should be $1.25. Q3 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCEThe following table shows the company's Q3 financial performance. Figures are in millions of dollars. Q3 24 Q3 23 % Change Sales 2,648 2,723 -2.8% Cost of sales 2,026 2,050 -1.2% Gross profit 622 673 -7.6% Net income 116 951 -87.8% Source: Celanese Earnings in Q3 2023 reflect a $503 million one-time gain from the sale of assets. Thumbnail shows adhesive, which is made with VAM. Image by Shutterstock.

04-Nov-2024

HOUSTON (ICIS)–US LSB Industries said it was able to complete a successful turnaround of their Pryor, Oklahoma, fertilizer facility. The company said in a third quarter update that the investments at Pryor were focused not only on improving its reliability and daily ammonia production volume, but also included the debottlenecking of the facility's urea plant. LSB expects this effort will result in an incremental of 75,000 short tons annually of UAN output. At the El Dorado, Arkansas, facility the producer said it completed the construction of an additional 5,000 short tons of nitric acid storage which is providing the ability to capitalize on incremental sales opportunities not previously available. A turnaround at the Cherokee, Alabama, facility will take place this November and a turnaround at El Dorado is scheduled for the third quarter of 2025, with the primary goal being increased volumes. LSB said it continues to make progress on its two energy transition projects and is expecting to start producing low carbon products at El Dorado beginning in 2026 pending regulatory approval. Regarding the Houston Ship Channel project, the company said it has completed the pre-front end engineering design and is working through the results as well as engaging with potential customers and preparing to select an engineering contractor for the final study. It expects to start that effort during the first half of 2025 with completion by mid-2026. Looking at fertilizer market conditions the producer said the ammonia market is healthy, and pricing has been strong driven by many factors including tight US supply dynamics along with geopolitical concerns and extended turnarounds and outages reducing global inventories LSB also cited the delayed start-up of new production capacity in the US Gulf and an export terminal in Russia For UAN the producer said pricing remains solid due to low inventories in the distribution channel following both spring applications and summer fill program with there being historically low imports and strong exports As it looks ahead it feels there is potential pent-up demand at the retailer and producer level which could lead to favorable order volumes and pricing in the first half of 2025.

30-Oct-2024

LONDON (ICIS)–Throughout October, demand in the European oxo-alcohols and derivatives markets has been slow-paced and below initial expectations. Sluggishness is expected to persist throughout the remainder of Q4, influenced by various factors including wider economic weakness, geopolitical tensions, and end-of-year destocking. Butyl acetate reporter Marion Boakye speaks to oxo-alcohols reporter Nicole Simpson, glycol ethers reporter Cameron Birch and acrylate esters reporter Mathew Jolin-Beech about market dynamics down the oxo-alcohols value chain.  

29-Oct-2024

HOUSTON (ICIS)–Australian Fertoz Limited said demand for direct application of rock phosphate and their fertilizer pellet product Fertify remained positive in Q3, with significant orders for Fertify starting in September. The company expects this uptick to continue through late 2024 with the phosphate producer saying this positive direction has come forth despite significant losses for farmers in the Alberta region of Canada due to pre-harvest hailstorms. In its quarterly activities report, Fertoz said there were delays in upgrades to granulation processing equipment by key customers, which slowed sales, but the expectations are for completion of these upgrades by year’s end. Fertoz managing director and CEO Daniel Gleeson said the bulk sample permit for 10,000 tonnes in Barnes is in the final stages with submission of a technical assessment review to the Ministry of Energy, Mines and Low Carbon Innovation. This permit is expected to be ready for the start of the 2025 mining season, with the next bulk sample permit at Pump Station, also for 10,000 tonnes, part of their overall advancement towards receiving an industrial minerals permit for up to 250,000 tonnes. The industrial permit is also expected to be completed early next year with Gleeson saying Fertoz continues to assess their Wapiti project for suitability of making phosphoric acid for the lithium iron phosphate (LFP) battery and liquid phosphate fertilizer markets. “Wapiti samples have been received by the testing party, with positive desktop results achieved, and will now process them in the laboratory for final reportable and definitive results. These final testing results are expected in December,” said Gleeson. “Concurrently we continue to engage with relevant parties of the LFP supply chain industry in North America who have expressed interest in our resources.” He said because of the significant direct government investments across North America and substantial future tax credits that overall interest remains elevated in their high quality, low impurity sedimentary rock phosphate deposits.

28-Oct-2024

Correction: In the ICIS news story headlined "Chlor-alkali demand benefited from hurricanes, new pulp plants – Olin" dated 25 October 2024, please read in paragraph 13 …  $135 million … instead of … billion. A corrected story follows. HOUSTON (ICIS)–Demand for chlorine derivatives and caustic soda benefited from US hurricanes and two new pulp and paper plants that opened in South America, which provided some bright spots in what has otherwise been a challenging market due to the slowdown in home building and durable goods, US-based Olin said on Friday. Bleach and hydrochloric acid are used in water treatment and cleaning. For caustic soda, demand continued to be strong because of demand from alumina and from the pulp and paper industry, said Ken Lane, CEO. He made his comments during an earnings conference call. Demand from South America has been the most robust, with two recent pulp and paper plant startups, he said. Lane did not specify the plants. However, Brazilian producer Suzano started up the largest single pulp production line in the world in Ribas do Rio Pardo, Mato Grosso do Sul state, Brazil. CHLORINE REMAINS IN TROUGHDespite the temporary boost from hurricanes, demand for chlorine remains in a trough, with demand below pre-COVID levels, according to Olin. Looking ahead, the uncertainty that the chemical industry experienced in the second half of 2024 should continue into 2025, Lane said. Such uncertainty will persist until interest rates fall further. Higher interest rates have weakened demand for PVC in several key end markets such as housing, automobiles and durables. In addition, chlorine is used to make titanium dioxide (TiO2), a white pigment that is used to make paints opaque. Demand will not spring back until lower interest rates lead to a recovery in activity in housing and other markets that are sensitive to rates, Lane said. BLOW FROM HURRICANE BERYLOlin expects to take a $135 million hit from damage that Hurricane Beryl caused to its operations in Freeport, Texas. During the third quarter, $77 million was connected to chlor-alkalis and $33 million was related to epoxy resins, the company said. During the fourth quarter, $25 million was related to chlor-alkalis. Olin had conducted an emergency shutdown, the company said. The shutdown caused problems that were not apparent until the company began to restart its operations. Olin completed those repairs about a week ago, it said. The company also built some temporary infrastructure, which it will continue to operate until the middle of next year. Thumbnail shows wood, which is used with caustic soda to make pulp. Photo by Global Warming 

25-Oct-2024

SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Here are the top stories from ICIS News Asia and the Middle East for the week ended 18 October. China VAM exports may slow throughout October By Hwee Hwee Tan 14-Oct-24 16:55 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Persistent increases in China’s vinyl acetate monomer (VAM) domestic prices have pushed up spot export offers, dampening buying interest for Chinese cargoes in Asia this month. China Sept crude imports dips 0.6 on year; down 7.4% on month By Fanny Zhang 14-Oct-24 17:51 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China’s crude oil imports in September totaled 45.5 million tonnes, down by 0.6% year on year and lower by 7.4% from the previous month, official data showed on Monday. India Sept inflation at nine-month high; Aug industrial output shrinks By Priya Jestin 14-Oct-24 22:46 MUMBAI (ICIS)–India’s retail inflation hit a nine-month high of 5.49% in September, mainly on firmer food prices, while the country’s industrial output in August shrank for the first time in 22 months. Oil prices fall by more than $3/barrel on abating Mideast tensions By Nurluqman Suratman 15-Oct-24 14:57 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Oil prices fell by over $3/barrel on 15 October on moderating concerns over potential supply disruptions, following news that Israel may refrain from targeting oil facilities in Iran. Asia fatty alcohols demand to remain firm near term despite proposed EUDR delay By Helen Yan 15-Oct-24 16:41 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Asia’s fatty alcohol mid-cuts demand is expected to remain firm in the near term despite the proposed one-year delay in the implementation of the EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR). Asian synthetic rubber discussions in limbo as buy-sell differences deepen By Ai Teng Lim 16-Oct-24 13:28 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Spot trade liquidity for Asian spot imports of various synthetic rubbers, from styrene-butadiene-rubber (SBR), polybutadiene rubber (PBR) and acrylonitrile-butadiene-rubber (NBR), are tapering amid widening differences in near-term pricing outlook between buyers and sellers. Asia BG demand expected to stay weak in Q4 By Joy Foo 17-Oct-24 13:22 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–The gap between China and southeast Asia butyl glycol (BG) import markets narrowed in October as lackluster demand has weighed down southeast Asia's import discussions. India petrochemicals demand subdued pre-Diwali; weak rupee effects unclear By Jonathan Yee 18-Oct-24 13:00 SINGAPORE (ICIS)–India's petrochemicals demand is losing momentum, hindered by the prolonged monsoon season, economic uncertainty, and volatile crude prices.

21-Oct-2024