Potash
Expert data and insight for this evolving commodity
Navigate volatile markets with confidence
Since 2021 the global muriate of potash (MOP) fertilizer market has endured a wave of change not seen since the collapse of the Russia/Belarus trading cartel in 2013. Sanctions imposed by Western nations on Belarus’ vast potash export industry and companies supporting Russia’s MOP mining firms has led to an extended period of unrest, all-time-high prices, and a dramatic shift in supply/demand dynamics.
ICIS’ global MOP report offers valuable insights into the “new normal” of global potash trading, as nations move to secure tonnage from new sources, producers attempt new trade routes, and upstart companies such as Anglo American and Brazil Potash angle in on a share of the 98m tonne/year trade.
RELATED LINKS:
Other fertilizers commodities that we cover
Learn about our solutions for potash
Pricing, news and analysis
Maximise profitability in uncertain markets with ICIS full range of solutions for potash, including current and historic pricing, forecasts, supply and demand data, news and analysis.
Data solutions
Learn about Insight, Hindsight and Foresight, our dedicated commodity solutions accessible through our subscriber platform, ICIS ClarityTM or Data as a Service channels.
Potash news
Advancing Banio project, Millennial Potash gains progress on Gabon port and power plant efforts
HOUSTON (ICIS)–Canadian fertilizer developer Millennial Potash, which is advancing the Banio Potash project in Gabon, announced it has achieved progress at both the Mengali port construction site and the new thermal electricity plant. The company said the port and power generation station represent critical infrastructure enhancements and are integral for a successful potash project, with the Mengali port a key part of the Grande Mayumba Programme, a joint venture for sustainable development between the Republic of Gabon and the African Conservation Development Group. Currently international construction firm Covec Gabon is undertaking earthworks for the port with development set to proceed in phases, but it will eventually be able to accommodate barges and landing craft. Future phases will involve constructing a mineral terminal, storage area, and stacker reclaimer with a conveyor system for loading large ocean-going vessels. It is expected to provide a vital infrastructure link for the Banio project as it would allow for export of bulk potash to overseas markets. Millennial said construction has commenced on a thermal power generation station located south of Mayumba, near the airport, with present work including foundation construction within the facility compound. The power station is scheduled to arrive by barge at Mengali port later this year and is expected to be installed and operational by mid-2025. The construction of the first phase, with a capacity of 8.5 megawatts, is expected to be completed in July 2025. The power plant project is under the direction of contractor Nuez et Fils and it is estimated that the total investment will be approximately $125 million. The company said the new power plant at Mayumba is viewed as a major infrastructure advancement for the region and this new reliable power source is expected to stimulate regional development. “These infrastructure developments are crucial for advancing the project and enhancing the economic viability of our proposed solution mining and conventional processing methods for potash production. The construction of the port and power plant, along with the associated infrastructure, will significantly mitigate risks related to future mining, processing, and shipping operations,” said Farhad Abasov, Millennial Potash chair. “Millennial remains committed to supporting the Gabonese government’s efforts to develop infrastructure in southern Gabon and will keep shareholders informed on the progress of these projects.” The Banio project is in the south-west corner of Gabon, approximately 450 km south of Libreville along the Atlantic coast. The maiden mineral resource estimate showed an indicated mineral resource estimate of 656.6 million tonnes at a grade of 15.9%, with an inferred mineral resource estimate of 1.15 billion tonnes at a grade of 16%.
13-Nov-2024
Nutrien said fall fertilizer demand being supported by early harvest, need to replenish soil
HOUSTON (ICIS)–Nutrien said demand in North America for the fall fertilizer application has been supported by a relatively early harvest along with the need to replenish soil nutrients following a period of lower field activity in the third quarter. In its latest market outlook, the Canadian fertilizer major said favorable growing conditions in the US have supported expectations for record corn and soybean yields and significant soil nutrient removal in 2024. The company did note that prospective crop margins have declined compared to the historically high levels in recent years, however Nutrien’s view is most growers in the key region of the US Midwest remain in a healthy financial position. One positive factor that the producer sees is that global grain stocks remain below historical average levels which support export demand for North American crops and firm prices for key agriculture commodities such as rice, sugar and palm oil. Looking at crop nutrient, Nutrien said it has raised 2024 global potash shipment forecast to 70 million – 72 million tonnes primarily driven by stronger expected demand in Brazil and Southeast Asia. The company said it believes the increase in global shipments this year has been driven by an underlying increase in consumption in key markets. The forecast for global potash shipments in 2025 is between 71 million – 74 million tonnes, which Nutrien said supported by the need to replenish soil nutrient levels and the relative affordability of potash. It does anticipate limited new capacity next year and the potential for incremental supply tightness with demand growth. Regarding global ammonia the producer said prices have been supported by supply outages, project delays and higher European natural gas values. For urea Nutrien said that Chinese export restrictions, production challenges from major exporters and strong demand from India and Brazil have tightened the global urea market. It noted that US nitrogen inventory was estimated to be well below average levels at the end of the third quarter, and the company is expecting it will support demand in the fourth quarter of 2024 and early 2025. For global phosphates, the situation remains tight which is furthered by Chinese export restrictions and production outages in the US. Nutrien said it anticipates some impact on global demand due to tight supply and weaker affordability relative to potash and nitrogen.
06-Nov-2024
US fertilizer segment watching but not overly concerned over Canada port strike activity
HOUSTON (ICIS)–As a fresh labor union strike halted activity at Canadian ports along its west coast on Monday, US fertilizer participants were watching the latest worker strife unfold with only moderate concerns over how this activity might disrupt nutrient flow. Fertilizer sources noted that the sentiment currently is that this work stoppage could be short in duration, as other recent strike actions have turned out with similar results. As a US trader said, the prior halt of the railroads in Canada “didn't seem to have much effect on the market last time”. If this strike activity were to carry forward, domestic sources highlighted that it would not be a widespread event for fertilizers in the US as it would be felt primarily within the potash segment as well as for sulphur movement. With a domestic participant commenting that for the other nutrients, especially the nitrogen-based offerings, that this latest event “hasn't yet affected us or any pricing”. This segment of west coast ports is estimated to move over 21,000 tonnes of potash daily for oversea shipment, with Fertilizer Canada calculating this latest shutdown could cost the industry around (C$) 9.7 million ($7.0 million) per day in lost sales revenue. The industry group had cautioned ahead of the strike occurring that another disruption to Canada’s supply chains would further damage the country’s reputation as a dependable trading partner and jeopardizes food security around the world. “We are once again on the brink of losing access to a critical trade corridor, and potash fertilizer will be one of the hardest hit commodities,” said Karen Proud, Fertilizer Canada president and CEO. The group noted that the 2023 labor disruption of west coast ports cost the fertilizer industry over C$126 million and took 13 days to resolve and that Canada lost significant market share to Russia in key markets such as Indonesia and Malaysia afterwards. Fertilizer major Nutrien said its main concern was that the strike action will prevent potash marketing agency Canpotex from exporting volumes out of the Port of Vancouver. “Canpotex is exploring alternatives to mitigate the potential impact to customers, however a prolonged disruption could negatively impact farmers and food security around the globe,” said a Nutrien spokesperson. “We urge the parties to come to an agreement before damage is done to Canada’s reputation as a reliable, global potash supplier.” ($1 = C$1.39)
04-Nov-2024
Australia Kore Potash completes Kola project EPC contract
HOUSTON (ICIS)–Australian Kore Potash announced it has finalised the agreement on the engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) contract for the Kola project with PowerChina International Group Limited (PowerChina) on 28 October. Kore Potash and PowerChina are now working towards convening a date which is currently set for 19 November for the signing ceremony with the Minister of Mines and other officials in the Republic of Congo-Brazzaville. In an update on financing, the company said it continues to work with the Summit Consortium to provide for the construction cost and is intended to be based on royalty and debt finance. Kore Potash added that the financing parties have confirmed their ongoing strong interest and has advised that the term sheet will be provided within three months of the execution of the EPC contract. The company does plan to conduct a small capital fund raise in November to finance working capital. Kola is expected to be designed with the capability to produce 2.2 million tonnes/year of granular muriate of potash (MOP) over an initial 31-year life.
31-Oct-2024
Highfield Resources said Muga project concession not relinquished but is under further review
HOUSTON (ICIS)– Spanish fertilizer firm Highfield Resources announced that the Navarra Government has not relinquished the Goyo mining concession, which is one of the three mining concessions for their Muga potash project in Spain. The company said it wanted to clarify the issue as there was previously a procedural flaw which has been identified in the internal administrative coordination process for the granting of the mining concession. There were no details provided regarding the mistake in the process, but Highfield Resources did say it has received confirmation that the ruling is being analyzing. Further, the company said the government stated it will resolve the situation as soon as possible to enable the implementation of the project, which it said has already been evaluated with sufficient rigor. Highfield Resources said at Goyo the production from that section is only expected to happen after year six of their mining plan.
28-Oct-2024
Agrimin potash project awaits investment decision, advances on Australia environmental approval
HOUSTON (ICIS)–Agrimin Limited said their Mackay potash project in Western Australia is continuing to advance towards a final investment decision and that the development is now in the stage three assessment with the environmental regulators. The project is planned to be able to manufacture standard and granular sulphate of potash (SOP) products with its definitive feasibility study (DFS), completed in July 2020, showing that once in operation it could be the world’s lowest cost source of seaborne SOP. In a quarterly update on activities, the company said the timeline from the Western Australian Environmental Protection Authority is still expected to come in 2024, with supplementary government approval expected to follow in the first half of 2025. Agrimin said it is also progressing on the other secondary approvals and licenses necessary for the project with the Department of Energy, Mines, Industry Regulation and Safety and the Department of Water and Environmental Regulation. Regarding the final investment decision, the company said it is undertaking activities to reach that status including engineering efforts with advanced process testing and preparation for contractor involvement. It is also engaged in execution planning with a focus on critical path analysis and mitigation including earliest possible environmental surveys and baseline monitoring. Agrimin said it will also be working on funding for the project including potential strategic partnerships.
28-Oct-2024
MOVES: US Intrepid Potash announces Jornayvaz steps down as CEO
HOUSTON (ICIS)–US fertilizer producer Intrepid Potash announced that Bob Jornayvaz has stepped down as Chief Executive Officer and as a director of the board following his extended medical leave of absence. The Denver-based producer had previously announced Jornayvaz was injured in an accident while playing in the US Open Polo Championship in April and was on extended medical leave of absence. “We are thankful to Bob for his immeasurable contributions to the company over the last two decades,” said Barth Whitham, Chair of the Board. “Bob led numerous initiatives that strengthened our customer relationships, modernized our operations, and capitalized on our unique position as the only domestic producer of potash. He took great pride in the company and its contributions to the domestic and global agriculture industry. Bob and his family remain in our thoughts, and we continue to wish him well in his recovery.” Intrepid said their Chief Financial Officer Matt Preston will continue to serve as acting principal executive officer as the Board of Directors’ search to identify and select a new CEO. “The board’s search for a CEO is well underway. In the interim, we are pleased to continue to have Matt and the rest of the management team lead the execution of Intrepid’s strategic plan,” Whitham said. Intrepid is the only US producer of muriate of potash and also delivers volumes of magnesium, sulfur, salt and water products for use in not only agriculture and for animal feed, but also within the oil and gas industry.
04-Oct-2024
American Potash receives federal approval for Utah potash and lithium project plans
HOUSTON (ICIS)–Fertilizer developer American Potash announced the US Bureau of Land Management (BLM) has approved their plan of operations at the Green River project in Utah, including issuing 11 prospecting permits and authorizing four exploratory drill holes. The company now has federal potash exploration permits and has a total of 7 exploratory drill holes authorized and is positioned for confirmation drilling, with expectations that will validate a high-grade potash potential estimated to be between 600 million to 1 billion tonnes of sylvinite. Another outcome is American Potash intends to establish an initial resource for not only potash but also lithium and potential by-products. The project is located 20 miles northwest of Moab, Utah, within the state’s Paradox Basin, which is one of only eight designated potash Super Basins globally with a long history of potash production. The company said recent development work has also validated the location’s potential as one of the largest domestic sources of lithium in the US. “This is a huge step for the company and the culmination of a process lasting several years. It positions the company to be able to drive forward with its business plan to confirm and validate historic data and targets, and to leverage the benefit of nearby production and neighboring development work, through the drill-bit,” said Simon Clarke, American Potash president and CEO. “We now have complete coverage for potash and lithium exploration across our acreage at a time when global events are driving home the need for domestic sources of potash and lithium to secure food and energy independence. We are now positioned to fully validate the strategic potential of our Green River project.”
02-Oct-2024
Australia BCI Minerals has commenced operations at Mardie salt, potash project
HOUSTON (ICIS)–Australian BCI Minerals announced it has commenced operations at its Mardie salt and potash project after receiving all necessary Western Australian and Commonwealth government environmental approvals. It has begun filling evaporation ponds 1, 2, and 3 with BCI Minerals set to update and resubmit its groundwater monitoring and management plan (GMMP) for further approval before filling evaporations ponds 4 through 9. Construction of the salt-first component of the project is over halfway completed with it expected the company will achieve first salt on ship in Q2 2027. Located 80km south of Karratha, in the Pilbara region, Mardie is anticipated to produce 5.35 million tonnes/year of high-quality industrial salt for export and 140,000 tonnes/year of sulphate of potash (SOP). It has an operating life expected to exceed 60 years. “Australia hasn’t developed a salt project of this significance in 25 years, and the Mardie Project will be Australia’s largest solar salt project and the third largest globally,” said David Boshoff, BCI Minerals managing director. “With the projected growth in demand for high grade industrial salt in our target Asian markets, BCI Minerals is strongly positioned to supply global markets with Mardie salt for generations.”
26-Sep-2024
Karnalyte Resources to evaluate increasing magnesium chloride production at Canada project
HOUSTON (ICIS)–Canadian fertilizer developer Karnalyte Resources announced it will begin a review of its development strategy to evaluate the economic potential of increasing magnesium chloride production at their Wynyard project in Saskatchewan. This effort will be undertaken by developing the magnesium assets at the same time as the development of the potash project. The company said the carnallite, also known as hydrated potassium magnesium chloride, is abundant within their mineral deposit so they need to determine the economic balance of developing carnallite for the co-production of magnesium chloride and potassium chloride. The aim is to significantly increase magnesium chloride production through the application of advanced solution mining technologies. The Government of Canada lists magnesium as one of the nation’s 34 critical minerals and it also appears on the lists in other countries including the US, the EU and Australia. Magnesium is a key mineral in the clean technologies and advanced manufacturing value chain while magnesium chloride serves as a key raw material in the production of various chemicals used in high-tech applications such as semiconductor manufacturing and in industries including agriculture and pharmaceuticals. “In light of the increasing importance of magnesium as one of the building blocks for the green and digital economy, we are reevaluating our strategy and we believe we should review the inclusion of concurrent and optimized magnesium and potash deposit development in our plans for the benefit of all stakeholders,” said Danielle Favreau, Karnalyte Resources CEO. The company said it plans to make progress on its technical report through the remainder of the year, which is a key precursor to any mine construction. It expects to complete the study on the review of its development strategy by the first quarter of 2025. Wynyard is one of two projects Karnalyte Resources is advancing with planned phase 1 production calculated at 625,000 tonnes/year of high-grade granular potash with two subsequent phases of 750,000 tonnes/year from each phase. The company noted that all environmental permits remain valid with preliminary detailed engineering complete and that the existing offtake agreement with Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited remains in effect.
25-Sep-2024
Events and training
Events
Build your networks and grow your business at ICIS’ industry-leading events. Hear from high-profile speakers on the issues, technologies and trends driving commodity markets.
Training
As markets evolve and industries change, the need for up-to-date training and personal career development is imperative to drive businesses forward.
Contact us
Partnering with ICIS unlocks a vision of a future you can trust and achieve. Architect a sustainable future with a transparent, reliable view of supply chain emissions and recycled plastics. We leverage our unrivalled network of industry experts to deliver a comprehensive market view based on trusted data, insight and analytics, supporting our partners as they transact today and plan for tomorrow. Get in touch today to find out more.
Get in touch today to find out more.