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Speciality Chemicals16-Jun-2025
HOUSTON (ICIS)–Arrivals of container ships at
the busy US West Coast ports of Los Angeles and
Long Beach (LA/LB) are slowly returning to
normal after the trade war between the US and
China slowed cargo movement between the two
nations, according to the Marine Exchange of
Southern California (MESC).
Kip Louttit, MESC executive director, said the
registration process for vessels bound for
LA/LB projects a slight uptick in the coming
two weeks.
Container ships on the way to LA/LB averaged
58.9/day in January, which fell to 47.2/day in
May amid trade tensions between the US and
China.
The average has climbed to 51.8/day over the
first 14 days of June, and 52.1/day over the
past 17 days.
“This is an indicator of a slight increase in
ship arrivals over next 1-2 weeks,” Louttit
said.
Louttit said there are 17 container ships
scheduled to arrive at the twin ports over the
next three days, which is normal.
Container ships at berth at the ports of LA/LB
dipped from an average of 19.4/day in April to
15.6/day in May.
The average was 12.3/day over the first six
days of June but jumped to 15.1/day for all 14
days in June, with 21 at berth on Friday and 14
at berth on Saturday.
Maritime information specialists at MESC said
there are 49 container ships “blank sailing”
that will skip Los Angeles or Long Beach
through 1 August, which is two more than the
previous week.
Blank sailings are when an ocean carrier
cancels or skips a scheduled port call or
region in the middle of a fixed rotation,
typically to control capacity.
Peter Sand, chief analyst at ocean and freight
rate analytics firm Xeneta, said capacity is
returning to the transpacific trade – up 28%
since mid-May – as carriers react to shippers
rushing cargo during the 90-day window of lower
tariffs.
“This increased capacity and a slowing in the
cargo rush should see a return of the downward
pressure on spot rates we saw during Q1 prior
to the ‘Liberation Day’ tariff announcement,”
Sand said.
Rates for shipping
containers from east Asia and China to the US
are at 10-month highs.
Container ships and costs for shipping
containers are relevant to the chemical
industry because while most chemicals are
liquids and are shipped in tankers, container
ships transport polymers, such as polyethylene
(PE) and polypropylene (PP), which are shipped
in pellets. Titanium dioxide (TiO2) is also
shipped in containers.
They also transport liquid chemicals in
isotanks.
Polypropylene16-Jun-2025
SAO PAULO (ICIS)–Colombia’s plastics industry
is managing to navigate through a turbulent
period for the country’s macroeconomics and
growing at over 3%, but the cabinet’s fiscal
issues and intensifying Chinese imports pose
risks, according to the president of trade
group Acoplasticos.
Daniel Mitchell added plastics in Colombia can
consider themselves lucky as growth over 3%
exceeds that of the wider manufacturing sectors
as well as the overall growth in the country.
Mitchell said that, while imports into Colombia
continue at pace, the country’s exports have
showed particularly strong momentum in the
plastic chain – according to Acoplasticos,
plastic product exports rose 7% while plastic
materials exports surged 15%, effectively
compensating for weaker domestic market
conditions.
Acoplasticos represents the entire plastics
value chain, though maintains primary focus on
manufacturing rather than commercial
distribution activities.
FISCAL POLICY ADDS
UNCERTAINTY
Last week, the Colombian government activated
an ‘escape clause’ to the so-called fiscal
rule, a clause normally only used in
emergencies or calamities, the last time being
the pandemic.
On this occasion, there is not an emergency per
se, but the cabinet is decided to go through
with its intention to increase spending ahead
of the election.
Left-leaning President Gustavo Petro’s
electoral program was clear in its aim to
expand the welfare state, but as Petro’s term
nears its end, that higher spending has been
financed with debt rather than regular, tax-led
higher income.
Activating the escape clause and practically
dismantling the rules which had made Colombia a
relatively stable economy in Latin America in
the past few years will add pressure to
investors who are wary of unstable
macroeconomics.
Chemicals sources said to ICIS last week the
measure could increase
borrowing costs, as both public and private
borrowing became harder due to investors’
distrust of loose fiscal policies.
Industry leaders are showing the same concerns.
Last week, the main industrial trade group Andi
– in which chemicals is represented as well –
said nascent, growing investments in Colombia
could now be put on hold due to the
uncertainty, and Acoplasticos joins that.
“We are quite concerned. There are three
elements that have come together: the cabinet
recently increased withholding tax rates,
requiring companies to pay higher advance
portions of next year’s income tax during the
current year. This provides the government with
additional, immediate cash flow – but it
reduces available resources for the following
year: it’s short-termism in a fiscal maneuver
which could have profound medium-term
consequences,” said Mitchell.
“Additionally, the government has indeed
activated the ‘escape clause’ for the fiscal
rule, effectively allowing breach of
established fiscal discipline mechanisms. This
decision permits higher government borrowing
and increased fiscal deficits, enabling
expanded current spending without regard for
future fiscal sustainability.
“Finally, the third concerning element involves
publication of the medium-term fiscal
framework, outlining public finance
perspectives over the coming years. To add to
the previous woes, most analysts think this
framework reflects a concerning ‘spend today
and don’t think much about what will happen
tomorrow or in future years’ approach, which
greatly undermines confidence in fiscal
responsibility,” said Mitchell.
These fiscal policy decisions carry significant
repercussions for Colombia’s financial standing
and broader economic stability, Mitchell went
on to say, and the deteriorating fiscal outlook
is almost certain to increase the country risk
premiums, which in turn can lead to higher
interest rates for public debt and reducing
fiscal space for future policy responses.
There are widespread concerns among Colombia
economic heads that if the government insists
on a looser fiscal policy, credit rating
agencies could move to downgrade the sovereign
rating, making it more expensive for Colombia
to go out to global markets to issue debt.
“There is a risk that credit rating agencies
will review Colombia’s rating and possibly
remove our investment grade status and
downgrade us in their categories. This scenario
would further increase interest rates and limit
government borrowing capacity while
constraining private sector access to
international financing,” said Mitchell.
Fiscal discipline – or the appearance of it –
is so important and is so absent in Colombia
currently that there are concerns the
deterioration in the public finances will
almost inevitably and quickly depreciate the
Colombian peso’s exchange rate, in turn making
imports more expensive.
This all will be an issue for Colombia’s
central bank, who was meant to continue
lowering interest rates as the peak of the
inflation crisis has been left behind. But the
new scenario of rising imports due to the lower
peso, sooner or later filtering down to the
consumer in the shops, could put a span in the
works of monetary policy easing.
“Obviously, by maintaining or not being able to
reduce interest rates, this affects economic
growth, affects investment prospects, buying
machinery, buying appliances, buying
automobiles, buying housing, which are sectors
tied to the chemical sector, to the plastics
sector,” said Mitchell.
“Currency dynamics present mixed implications
for plastics: a depreciated peso increases raw
material costs for domestic producers reliant
on imported inputs, though it benefits
exporters by making their products more
competitive in international markets. But,
overall, I think currency weakness generally
pressures the industrial sector downwards,
while economic deceleration reduces domestic
consumption.”
CHINA
As well as domestic issues for companies,
chemicals and plastics imports from Asia, the
Middle East, or the US, continue to present
Colombia and the wider Latin America with a
near-existential crisis.
With lower production costs – via actual lower
costs or via heavy subsidies to keep its
citizens employed – China is now dumping its
excess product in practically all industrial
sectors, and chemicals and polymers have been
at the center of it.
Far from easing, China seems to be sending
product at yet more competitive prices, and the
competitive pressure continues escalating,
gradually but persistently, across most plastic
product segments.
Mitchell said that while some categories like
packaging containers face limited import
competition due to transportation economics,
virtually all other tradeable plastic products
encounter Chinese competition at prices
significantly below domestic production costs.
Colombia’s approach to addressing unfair trade
practices maintains a case-by-case methodology
rather than implementing broad protective
measures such as higher import tariffs.
The Ministry of Commerce investigates specific
complaints regarding antidumping violations and
safeguard measures, with mixed results
depending on individual case merits.
Recent examples include a polyvinyl chloride
(PVC) antidumping complaint filed two years ago
that was rejected by the government, while a
current antidumping case regarding plastic
films remains under review.
“These cases reflect ongoing industry efforts
to address unfair competition, though without
systematic government support for broad
protective measures – it has ruled in favor in
some cases, it has ruled against in others,”
said Mitchell.
OPEN ELECTON ALSO ADDS TO
UNCERTAINTY
As Colombia approaches a critical electoral
period with congressional elections scheduled
for March 2026 and presidential elections in
May, the political uncertainty seems to grow
rather than narrowing the option as the
election gets closer.
President Petro’s approval ratings hover around
30%, suggesting his party will face electoral
vulnerability for the presidential election, as
Colombia’s second-round presidential system
requires majority support exceeding 50% in the
first round, or a final round between the two
most voted candidates in the first round.
However, political dynamics remain highly
uncertain with numerous potential candidates
and no clear front runner emerging. To add to
the uncertainty, Colombians are still reeling
from the terrorist attack a week ago witnessed
on national television against one of the
presidential candidates, right-leaning Miguel
Uribe, who remains in hospital in critical
condition.
Opinion polls would suggest Petro’s time in
politics may be approaching its end, but
Mitchell reminded a few months in politics can
feel much longer, and more so in a very fluid
electoral landscape in which there is no clear
favorite yet, with several candidates polling
at the low double-digits. The second and final
round seems more open than ever.
“When you look at the government’s popularity
indices, the logic is that no [they will not
revalidate their mandate]. Because his
popularity is around 30%, which is not a
majority. But obviously everything is very
uncertain at this moment, and the truth is that
there are many candidates,” he concluded.
This interview took place over the phone on 13
June.
Front page picture source:
Acoplasticos
Interview article by Jonathan
Lopez
Ethylene16-Jun-2025
HOUSTON (ICIS)–Here are the top stories from
ICIS News from the week ended 13 June.
Brazilian court orders end to
six-month customs auditors’
strike
A Brazilian judge has ordered customs workers
to end their nearly seven-month strike after
the government argued the industrial action
was causing financial harm as goods pile up
at ports and customs facilities across the
country.
SHIPPING: May container ship arrivals
fall at US ports of LA, LB, but on the uptick
in June
Arrivals of container ships fell in May at
the US West Coast ports of Los Angeles (LA)
and Long Beach (LB) amid a trade war between
the US and China but has shown a slight
uptick in June while the two nations continue
to negotiate a trade deal.
INSIGHT: Chems need more than cost
cutting during multi-year
slump
Chemical companies can find more ways to grow
profits beyond cost cutting as they enter
another year of slow economic growth in the
longest downturn in years.
UPDATE: US chem shares sell off amid
Israel, Iran attacks
US-listed shares of chemical companies fell
sharply on Friday and performed worse than
the overall market following the growing
conflict between Israel and Iran.

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Petrochemicals16-Jun-2025
LONDON (ICIS)–Click
here to see the latest blog post on
Chemicals & The Economy by Paul Hodges,
which looks at CEO concerns over tariff and
trade wars.
Editor’s note: This blog post is an opinion
piece. The views expressed are those of the
author and do not necessarily represent those
of ICIS. Paul Hodges is the chairman of
consultants New
Normal Consulting.
Petrochemicals16-Jun-2025
MUMBAI (ICIS)–India’s DCM Shriram plans to
acquire specialty chemicals
producer Hindusthan Specialty
Chemicals Ltd (HSCL) for Indian rupees (Rs)
3.75 billion ($44 million).
“This move positions DCM Shriram for strategic
expansion into the advanced materials segment,
unlocking synergies with its existing chemicals
portfolio,” the company said in a disclosure to
the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) on 12 June.
The acquisition of HSCL is expected to be
completed by September, it added.
HSCL has a facility at Jhagadia in the western
Gujarat state which is located close to DCM
Shriram’s existing chemicals complex. This will
allow for quick integration and growth, DCM
said.
Apart from a 17,000 tonne/year liquid epoxy
resin unit, HSCL also produces reactive
diluents, hardeners, formulated
resins and other products used in the
aerospace, electronics, renewable energy,
electric vehicles and defence sectors at the
site.
“This acquisition is a pivotal step in our
chemicals growth strategy and a catalyst for
DCM Shriram’s entry into advanced materials,
which offers robust forward integration with
our chlor-alkali platform, while positioning us
at the intersection of India’s expanding
presence in sunrise sectors like renewables,
mobility, and aerospace,” DCM Shriram chairman
and managing director Ajay Shriram said.
DCM Shriram is a chlor-alkali producer in India
with a combined production capacity of nearly 1
million tonnes/year at Jhagadia in Gujarat, and
Kota in Rajasthan.
In February 2024, the company
had announced plans to invest Rs10 billion
to set up a greenfield epoxy resins
manufacturing plant.
Separately, the company expects to begin
operations at its 51,000 tonne/year
epichlorohydrin (ECH) plant soon, a company
source said.
“The commissioning of the ECH plant has been
delayed due to an issue in one of the equipment
and was addressed by our technology suppliers,”
he said.
The ECH plant will be commissioned in phases,
with the first phase of operations expected to
begin this month, the company source said.
($1 = Rs86.05)
Speciality Chemicals16-Jun-2025
LONDON (ICIS)–Here are some of the top
stories from ICIS Europe for the week ended
13 June.
ESA
’25: Global sulphuric acid market seeking
clarity on H2 supply
securityOffer pricing
remains stable-to-firm across the global
sulphuric acid market as Q2 nears its end –
although market players’ views are sharply
divided on the supply outlook for the second
half of 2025.
Europe PS and EPS
markets face long supply as demand remains
stableEuropean polystyrene
(PS) and expandable polystyrene (EPS) markets
are navigating a landscape characterized by
long supply conditions and stable demand,
which is expected to continue unchanged into
Q3.
Verbio to start up
renewable chemicals plant next
yearVerbio’s ethenolysis
plant under construction in Germany is
expected to start up in 2026, a company
official told ICIS.
Europe June epoxy
stable to soft; summer could weigh on
pricesEurope epoxy resins
price discussions have been relatively stable
for June so far, but with some
softening here and there, with ongoing margin
challenges counterbalanced by subdued
fundamentals.
European jet fuel
prices extend gains as demand recovers,
capping supply
dragEuropean jet fuel
prices extended gains in the week to 11 June
in response to a pick up in buying interest
as seasonal demand gets underway.
Markets slump, oil
soars in wake of Iran
strikesEurope chemicals
stocks and equities markets fell in morning
trading on Friday in the wake of Israel’s
missile strikes across Iran, including
nuclear facilities, with the prospect of
additional attacks chilling sentiment.
Polyethylene16-Jun-2025
SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Click here to see the
latest blog post on Asian Chemical Connections
by John Richardson: The global petrochemical
industry is already battling a deep, structural
downturn. While we’ve seen no impact on already
dire polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP)
margins in northeast and southeast Asia from
the trade war, the Israel-Iran crisis presents
a new set of risks for polyolefins and all the
other products.
Today, I want to share a first pass at three
headline scenarios for how this latest crisis
could impact the global economy, and by
extension, petrochemicals –
Scenario 1: The Best-Case –
De-escalation and Containment.
International mediation leads to a swift
reduction in direct confrontation. Retaliatory
actions are limited, avoiding critical
infrastructure. Diplomatic channels resume,
potentially reigniting broader regional
security talks.
Oil Prices: Rapid return to pre-crisis levels;
spikes short-lived.
Inflation: Minimal sustained impact; stable
energy costs.
Supply Chains: Minor, localised disruptions;
vital Strait of Hormuz remains secure.
Investment: Quick rebound in confidence; risk
assets recover.
Scenario 2: The Medium-Case –
Protracted Tensions and Proxy Conflicts Averted
full-scale direct war, but high tensions
persist.
The region sees intensified “shadow wars” and
proxy conflicts. Occasional targeted strikes or
cyberattacks, but no full escalation.
Diplomatic efforts are slow and largely
ineffective.
Oil Prices: Elevated and volatile due to
persistent geopolitical risk.
Inflation: Sustained upward pressure as higher
energy costs feed into all sectors.
Supply Chains: Increased shipping insurance,
minor rerouting; higher logistics costs.
Investment: Increased risk aversion; volatile
equity markets; flight to safe havens.
Scenario 3: The Worst-Case – Full-Scale
Regional War & Strait of Hormuz Closure
Direct military conflict spirals out of
control, potentially drawing in other global
powers. Iran close or severely disrupts the
Strait of Hormuz.
Oil Prices: Big surge to long-term historic
highs.
Inflation: Hyperinflationary pressures
globally; severe cost-of-living crisis.
Supply Chains: Widespread and severe paralysis
of global trade; blockades, severe shortages.
Global Recession/Depression: High probability
of a severe global economic downturn.
Financial Markets: Extreme volatility; sharp
declines; systemic crisis risk.
Conclusion: Understanding scenarios is crucial
for strategic planning. Even “medium” level
tensions will have significant, widespread
consequences.
Editor’s note: This blog post is an opinion
piece. The views expressed are those of the
author, and do not necessarily represent those
of ICIS.
Gas16-Jun-2025
SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Here are the top stories
from ICIS News Asia and the Middle East for
the week ended 13 June 2025.
Asia-Europe VAM trade
expansion driven by outages, US
tariffs
By Hwee Hwee Tan 13-Jun-25 15:01
SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Vinyl acetate monomer
exports from Asia to Europe are on track for
expansion during the second quarter, spurred
by a push among traders to take positions
before a regulatory quota waiving duties for
imports into Europe is exhausted.
Crude climbs more than
8% after Israeli strikes against targets in
Iran
By James Dennis 13-Jun-25 12:33
SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Crude prices surged, with
Brent peaking nearly $9/barrel higher early
on Friday, after Israel attacked targets in
Iran, raising fears of a major escalation in
conflict in the Middle East and resultant
disruptions to crude production and exports
from that region.
INSIGHT: India’s BIS
deadline may reshape global PVC trade
landscape
By Aswin Kondapally 11-Jun-25 14:00
MUMBAI (ICIS)–India is at a critical
juncture in determining whether to implement
or extend its Quality Control Orders (QCO)
for polyvinyl chloride (PVC) resin sales
under the Bureau of Indian Standards (BIS)
Act, with the compliance deadline set for 24
June 2025.
Asia crude glycerine
offers fall as downstream ECH weakens in
China
By Helen Yan 12-Jun-25 11:42 SINGAPORE
(ICIS)–Offers for crude glycerine in Asia
declined, weighed down by weakness in
downstream epichlorohydrin (ECH) market and
bearish sentiment.
ICIS China Petrochemical Price index May
average falls on weak demand
By Yvonne Shi 11-Jun-25 13:48 SINGAPORE
(ICIS)–China’s average petrochemical prices
in May eased by 0.62% month on month as
easing trade war concerns was offset by
continued weakness in demand.
Indian refineries plan green hydrogen
projects worth Rs2 trillion
By Priya Jestin 11-Jun-25 12:24 MUMBAI
(ICIS)–India is currently planning green
hydrogen initiatives worth around Indian
rupees (Rs) 2 trillion ($23 billion), which
include tenders for 42,000 tonne/year green
hydrogen production by domestic oil
refineries.
INSIGHT: India’s BIS deadline may reshape
global PVC trade landscape
By Aswin Kondapally 11-Jun-25 14:00 MUMBAI
(ICIS)–India is at a critical juncture in
determining whether to implement or extend
its Quality Control Orders (QCO) for
polyvinyl chloride (PVC) resin sales under
the Bureau of Indian Standards (BIS) Act,
with the compliance deadline set for 24 June
2025.
China vessel age limit stalls prompt trades
with India
By Hwee Hwee Tan 11-Jun-25 13:04 SINGAPORE
(ICIS)–Prompt chemical tanker supply on
China’s southbound trade lanes is expected to
shrink following regulatory restrictions,
constraining spot trades especially with
India.
INSIGHT: Hydrogen unlocking China’s cement
decarbonization potential
By Patricia Tao 10-Jun-25 17:58 As China
steps up efforts to meet its dual carbon
targets, hydrogen is becoming a practical and
strategic tool to cut emissions from the
country’s highly carbon-intensive cement
industry.
INSIGHT: Countdown to China benzene futures
debut: how will it affect the
market?
By Jenny Yi 10-Jun-25 17:11 SINGAPORE
(ICIS)–On 14 May, the Dalian Commodity
Exchange (DCE) issued a notice to solicit
public opinions on proposed futures and
options contracts for benzene along with the
relevant rules. The deadline for feedback was
21 May 2025, marking the countdown to the
launch of benzene futures and options in
China.
China’s US exports to rebound on
front-loading before Aug
By Nurluqman Suratman 10-Jun-25 13:49
SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China’s exports to the US
are expected to rebound in June as exporters
ramp up frontloading efforts before the
90-day trade truce between the two global
economic superpowers expires in August.
Asia, Mideast petrochemical markets brace for
tough summer
By Jonathan Yee 09-Jun-25 11:16 SINGAPORE
(ICIS)–Tariff concerns and ample supply
continue to exert pressure on petrochemical
markets in both Asia and the Middle East,
with regional demand staying weak, with
consumption in India unlikely to pick up
until September.
INSIGHT: China polyester sector sees
production cuts; tight supply boosts
PTA/MEG
By Cindy Qiu 09-Jun-25 12:00 SINGAPORE
(ICIS)–China’s polyester producers are
facing mounting cost pressure, as domestic
purified terephthalic acid (PTA) and
monoethylene glycol (MEG) prices reaped large
gains after the Labour Day holiday (1-5 May
2025) on the back of tight supply.
Ethylene13-Jun-2025
HOUSTON (ICIS)–US-listed shares of chemical
companies fell sharply on Friday and performed
worse than the overall market following the
growing conflict between Israel and Iran.
Iranian missiles hit Tel Aviv in a retaliatory
attack that reportedly caused injuries,
according to the Wall Street Journal.
Most of the missiles were intercepted or fell
short, according to Reuters and the Wall Street
Journal, which reported the Israeli military.
Earlier, Israeli warplanes attacked multiple
sites in Iran.
Following news of the attacks, the major US
stock indices followed by ICIS fell, but not as
sharply as shares of chemical companies.
The following table shows the major indices
followed by ICIS.
Index
13-Jun
Change
%
Dow Jones Industrial Average
42,197.79
-769.83
-1.79%
S&P 500
5,967.97
-68.29
-1.13%
Dow Jones US Chemicals Index
832.55
-12.02
-1.42%
S&P 500 Chemicals Industry Index
885.14
-15.59
-1.73%
The following table shows the US-listed shares
followed by ICIS.
Name
$ Current
Price
$ Change
% Change
AdvanSix
23.99
-0.49
-2.00%
Avient
34.3
-1.42
-3.98%
Axalta Coating Systems
28.79
-1.37
-4.54%
Braskem
3.67
-0.07
-1.87%
Chemours
10.98
-0.49
-4.27%
Celanese
54.63
-2.24
-3.94%
DuPont
66.87
-1.57
-2.29%
Dow
29.9
-0.24
-0.80%
Eastman
76.19
-1.93
-2.47%
HB Fuller
54.16
-1.92
-3.42%
Huntsman
10.9
-0.64
-5.55%
Kronos Worldwide
6.23
-0.22
-3.41%
LyondellBasell
60.1
-0.03
-0.05%
Methanex
36
1.57
4.56%
NewMarket
648.7
-6.24
-0.95%
Olin
20.38
-0.67
-3.18%
PPG
106.3
-5.73
-5.11%
RPM International
108.08
-6.78
-5.90%
Stepan
54.42
-1.26
-2.26%
Sherwin-Williams
335.88
-20.32
-5.70%
Tronox
5.56
-0.23
-3.97%
Trinseo
3.4
0.02
0.59%
Westlake
77.3
-1.32
-1.68%
Methanex shares rose after
it passed a regulatory milestone in its
$2.05 billion purchase of the methanol business
of OCI Global.
Meanwhile, Brent and WTI crude futures both
rose by nearly $4/bbl.
US producers idled three oil drilling rigs,
bringing the total to 439, the lowest figure
since October 2021.
EUROPEAN SHARES FELL EARLIER IN THE
DAYEarlier,
Europe chemicals stocks and equities markets
fell in morning trading on Friday in the
wake of Israel’s strikes across Iran, including
nuclear facilities, with the prospect of
additional attacks chilling sentiment.
The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
confirmed on Friday that Iran’s Natanz nuclear
enrichment facility had been struck in the
first salvo of strikes that also hit
residential areas as part of attacks on
military leaders and nuclear scientists.
Israel’s Prime Minister, Benjamin Netanyahu,
stated on Friday that strikes will continue
“for as many days as it takes” to remove
nuclear enrichment facilities, as US Secretary
of State Marco Rubio urged the Iranian
government not to respond.
The IAEA noted on Thursday that Iran is
potentially in breach of its non
nuclear-proliferation agreements for the first
time since the early 2000s, but Rafael Mariano
Grossi, director general of the nuclear
watchdog, attacked the strikes on Friday.
“Nuclear facilities must never be attacked,
regardless of the context or circumstances,” he
said, noting that there is presently no
elevation at the Natanz site.
MARKETS
Oil prices soared in the wake of the strikes,
with Brent crude futures jumping nearly
$5/barrel on Friday to $74.31/barrel, the
highest level since April, while WTI futures
were trading at $73.15/barrel, the highest
since January.
Equities slumped as commodities surged, with
Asia bourses universally closing in the red and
all key European stock indices trading down in
morning trading.
The STOXX 600 chemicals index was trading down
over 1% as of 10:30 BST, in line with general
markets, with stock prices for a third of the
21 component companies down 2-3%.
The hardest-hit were Fuchs, LANXESS and
Umicore, which saw stocks fall 3.72%, 3.24% and
2.97% compared to Thursday’s close.
The situation has also had a dramatic impact on
fertilizers markets, with Iran a key global
exporter of urea, and some contacts reporting
disruption in Israel’s supply of gas to Egypt.
SHIPPING
Shipping could also face further disruption,
with the UK’s Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO)
monitor publishing an advisory on Wednesday –
before the start of the Israel strikes –
that increased Middle East military activity
could impact on mariners.
“Vessels are advised to transit the Arabian
Gulf, Gulf of Oman and Straits of Hormuz with
caution,” the watchdog said.
Around 20% of global oil trade passes through
along the Strait of Hormuz, and any move by
Iran to block the route could have a huge
impact on freight traffic that is still
disrupted by firms avoiding the Red Sea in the
wake of Houthi strikes.
Activity in the Red Sea is understood to have
subsided in recent weeks after a US-Houthi
ceasefire but shipping firms remain leery of
the route, and the attacks on Iran could
further inflame tensions in the region.
Higher risk and insurance price hikes could
also drive shipping prices through the region
steadily higher.
The upward movement for shipping prices had
showed signs of plateauing this week, with
China-Europe and China-US route charge steady
week on week as of 12 June after weeks of
surges, according to Drewry Supply Chain
Advisors.
Some freight indices continued to climb,
however, with the Baltic Exchange’s dry bulk
sea freight index up 9.6% as of 12 June, the
highest level since October 2024.
Thumbnail image: Iran Tehran Israel Strike
– 13 June 2025. Iran’s IRIB state TV reported
explosions in areas of the capital of Tehran
and counties of Natanz, Khondab and
Khorramabad. (Xinhua/Shutterstock)
Additional reporting by Tom
Brown
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