News library
Subscribe to our full range of breaking news and analysis
Viewing 1-10 results of 57640
Crude Oil14-Nov-2024
SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Eight people were injured at
a fire that broke out at Indian Oil Corp’s
(IOC) Mathura refinery in the northern Uttar
Pradesh state on the evening of 12 November,
the energy company said in a statement.
The blaze erupted at about 07:00 GMT (01:30
GMT) on 12 November during start-up of a crude
distillation unit (CDU) at the site after a
planned maintenance, it said.
Located along the Delhi-Agra National Highway
about 154 kilometers away from Delhi, the
Mathura refinery has a capacity of 8 million
tonnes/year.
“Three of the injured have been admitted to
Apollo Hospital, Delhi, while the others are
receiving medical care locally,” IOC said.
“All injured individuals are stable, and their
recovery is being closely monitored,” it added.
The blaze was extinguished with no disruption
to refinery operations, it said.
“The plant and machinery have not suffered any
damage, and refinery activities are continuing
as usual,” IOC said.
The Mathura refinery incident happened a day
after a fire
hit IOC’s Gujarat refinery in western India
on 11 November and killed two people.
Potassium Chloride (MOP)13-Nov-2024
HOUSTON (ICIS)–Canadian fertilizer developer
Millennial Potash, which is advancing the Banio
Potash project in Gabon, announced it has
achieved progress at both the Mengali port
construction site and the new thermal
electricity plant.
The company said the port and power generation
station represent critical infrastructure
enhancements and are integral for a successful
potash project, with the Mengali port a key
part of the Grande Mayumba Programme, a joint
venture for sustainable development between the
Republic of Gabon and the African Conservation
Development Group.
Currently international construction firm Covec
Gabon is undertaking earthworks for the port
with development set to proceed in phases, but
it will eventually be able to accommodate
barges and landing craft.
Future phases will involve constructing a
mineral terminal, storage area, and stacker
reclaimer with a conveyor system for loading
large ocean-going vessels.
It is expected to provide a vital
infrastructure link for the Banio project as it
would allow for export of bulk potash to
overseas markets.
Millennial said construction has commenced on a
thermal power generation station located south
of Mayumba, near the airport, with present work
including foundation construction within the
facility compound.
The power station is scheduled to arrive by
barge at Mengali port later this year and is
expected to be installed and operational by
mid-2025.
The construction of the first phase, with a
capacity of 8.5 megawatts, is expected to be
completed in July 2025.
The power plant project is under the direction
of contractor Nuez et Fils and it is estimated
that the total investment will be approximately
$125 million.
The company said the new power plant at Mayumba
is viewed as a major infrastructure advancement
for the region and this new reliable power
source is expected to stimulate regional
development.
“These infrastructure developments are crucial
for advancing the project and enhancing the
economic viability of our proposed solution
mining and conventional processing methods for
potash production. The construction of the port
and power plant, along with the associated
infrastructure, will significantly mitigate
risks related to future mining, processing, and
shipping operations,” said Farhad Abasov,
Millennial Potash chair.
“Millennial remains committed to supporting the
Gabonese government’s efforts to develop
infrastructure in southern Gabon and will keep
shareholders informed on the progress of these
projects.”
The Banio project is in the south-west corner
of Gabon, approximately 450 km south of
Libreville along the Atlantic coast.
The maiden mineral resource estimate showed an
indicated mineral resource estimate of 656.6
million tonnes at a grade of 15.9%, with an
inferred mineral resource estimate of 1.15
billion tonnes at a grade of 16%.
Ammonia13-Nov-2024
HOUSTON (ICIS)–The US harvest is nearly over
with corn now at 95% and soybeans having
reached 96% completed according to the latest
US Department of Agriculture (USDA) weekly crop
progress report.
The pace of corn harvest is ahead of both the
86% level achieved in 2023 and the five-year
average of 84%.
All the reporting states for corn are at 90%
completed except for Pennsylvania at 67%,
Colorado at 82% and Wisconsin at 89% of their
acreage concluded.
Soybean harvesting has climbed to 96%, which is
above the 94% rate from last season as well as
the five-year average of 91%.
All the reporting states for soybeans are at
90% completed except for North Carolina at 53%,
Kentucky at 83% and Tennessee at 89% of the
crop done.
In other harvesting updates the USDA said there
is now 71% of the cotton crop done with sorghum
acreage 91% completed.
Global News + ICIS Chemical Business (ICB)
See the full picture, with unlimited access to ICIS chemicals news across all markets and regions, plus ICB, the industry-leading magazine for the chemicals industry.
Speciality Chemicals13-Nov-2024
TORONTO (ICIS)–The Port of Vancouver and other
Canadian West Coast ports as well as the Port
of Montreal were preparing on Wednesday to
resume operations, but the exact timeline
remains unclear, officials said in updates.
The government on Tuesday directed the Canada
Industrial Relations Board (CIRB) to order the
resumption of all operations at the ports and
to settle pending labor disputes through
binding arbitration.
It may take a couple of days before operations
at the ports resume, according to the country’s
labor minister. The CIRB is an independent
agency with its own procedures.
The Port of Vancouver acknowledged the
government intervention but said that a
timeline for full resumption of impacted
operations has yet to be determined.
The Port of Montreal said that cargo handling
activities would gradually resume over the
coming days, subject to when the CIRB issues
its order.
It would take several weeks to clear terminal
backlogs and restore the fluidity of supply
chains, it added.
Labor disruptions at Vancouver and the other
West Coast ports were at their 10th day on
Wednesday, and at Montreal they were at their
14th day.
In the chemical industry, trade group Chemistry
Industry Association of Canada (CIAC) welcomed
the government intervention.
More than Canadian dollar (C$) 22 million
($15.7 million) of chemistry and plastic
products was traded through Vancouver and other
West Coast ports each day in 2023, for a total
of C$8 billion for the year, CIAC said.
This includes products that go into making
chlorine and related products for municipal
drinking water and exports of organic chemicals
and resins to global markets, it said.
The government needed to do more to avoid
“harmful disruptions to our trade
infrastructure”, said CIAC president and CEO
Bob Masterson.
Canada has a limited number of ports that are
capable of handling large container ships that
are capable of shipping goods to foreign
markets, he said.
“Continued disruptions signal the wrong message
to our trading partners and companies who want
to invest in Canada: that Canada cannot be
relied on to get their products where they need
to go,” he said.
Meanwhile, the unions representing the port
workers said they would challenge the
government’s intervention in the disputes in
court.
Earlier, another labor union, Teamsters Canada
Rail Conference (TCRC), filed a court
challenge against the government’s
move in August to intervene and end a freight
rail labor dispute. That case has not yet been
decided.
The unions argue that the government
interventions violate workers’ rights to
strike.
($1=C$1.4)
Thumbnail shows containers that are
commonly handled in ports. Image by
Costfoto/NurPhoto/Shutterstock
Ethylene13-Nov-2024
HOUSTON (ICIS)–European ethylene producers
could be planning more cracker shutdowns, with
the lost capacity being replaced by imports
from the US.
US ethylene export capacity is being
expanded.
Midstream companies are adding more US
capacity to process the feedstock used to make
ethylene.
Outside of chemical feedstock, midstream
companies see potential growth from energy
demand from data centers.
EUROPE MAY SHUT DOWN MORE
CRACKERSUS-based midstream
company and ethylene exporter Enterprise
Products hinted that more shutdowns were
possible beyond the ones announced this year by
ExxonMobil, SABIC and Versalis.
“We’ve heard from a lot of the chemical
companies that they are doing strategic reviews
of their European assets,” said Christopher
D’Anna, senior vice president, petrochemicals.
He made his comments during an earnings
conference call.
“So, we expect to see some closures, and we
expect that to lead to additional ethylene
exports going that way,” D’Anna said.
Among the region’s crackers that rely
predominantly on naphtha, most produce less
than 700,000 tonnes/year of ethylene, which
prevents them from benefiting from economies of
scale, according to ICIS data.
Europe’s elevated energy costs pile on the
problems faced by these smaller naphtha
crackers.
US INCREASING ETHYLENE EXPORT
CAPACITYUS ethylene exports
surged in 2020 after Enterprise Products and
Navigator Gas started shipping material out of
their joint venture terminal at Morgan’s Point,
Texas. That terminal can export 1 million
tonnes/year of ethylene.
By the end of 2024, the two will complete an
expansion project that can handle ethane or
ethylene. If dedicated to ethylene, the
expansion can export up to 500,000 tonnes/year
of ethylene, bringing the total to 1.5 million
tonnes/year.
By the end of 2025, Enterprise and Navigator
will complete another expansion at Morgan’s
Point, which will add even more flexible
capacity. If dedicated to ethylene, this
expansion could export up to 1.5 million
tonnes/year of ethylene. In all, the Morgan’s
Point terminal could export up to 3 million
tonnes/year of ethylene if it chooses to
dedicate all of its flexible capacity to
ethylene.
As new Enterprise ethane capacity comes online
during 2025 and 2026, additional flex train
capacity can be utilized for ethylene.
In addition,
Navigator has ordered two carriers that can
each carry 48,500 cubic meters of liquid
ethylene, with delivery scheduled for March
2027 and July 2027. The carriers have the
flexibility to carry ethane, ammonia or
liquefied petroleum gas (LPG).
EXPORTS AND US ETHYLENE
BALANCEIf Enterprise and
Navigator decide to maximize ethylene exports
at its Morgan’s Point terminal, it would likely
tighten the US market, since the new crackers
being proposed and built are integrated with
downstream units.
But D’Anna’s comments raises an interesting
scenario. Europe may be willing to import
ethylene to preserve its downstream units and
its manufacturing base. In the future, US
chemical producers could add ethylene capacity
to serve a global ethylene market. Growing
supplies of low-cost feedstock ethane in the US
could make such a global ethylene market
possible.
ETHANE SUPPLIES CONTINUE GROWING IN THE
USEthane produced from natural
gas processing plants should reach 2.74 million
bbl/day in 2025, steady from 2024, according to
the Short Term Energy Outlook from the Energy
Information Administration (EIA).
US oil and natural gas production should also
continue increasing, with oil reaching 13.54
million bbl/day in 2025, and dry natural gas
reaching 104.62 billion cubic feet/day,
according to the EIA.
As oil and natural gas production is set to
rise steadily over the next two years, ethane
output from processing plants is also projected
to increase, according to Kojo Orgle, feedstock
analyst for ICIS. Orgle monitors the US markets
for ethane and other petrochemical feedstock.
With limited growth in domestic ethane
consumption as a petrochemical feedstock,
additional supply will need to be directed
toward exports. Consequently, the ethane market
will rely heavily on expansions in US
waterborne NGL export capacity. Ethane supplies
hit record highs this year and may continue to
grow if new outlets do not keep pace with
production.
OTHER MIDSTREAM
DEVELOPMENTSEnterprise noted
future demand for natural gas from data centers
being built in Texas and from new power plants
being developed under the recent Texas
Energy Fund.
Energy Transfer Partners is pursuing similar
opportunities for power plants and data centers
throughout its natural gas network, from
Arizona to Florida and from Texas to Michigan.
Energy Transfer received requests to connect to
about 45 power plants in 11 states that could
consume gas loads of up to 6 billion cubic
feet/day.
For data centers, Energy Transfer received
requests from 40 that could consume gas loads
of up to 10 billion cubic feet/day.
EnLink Midstream said data centers could
represent at least 7.5% of US electricity
consumption by 2030, up from 2.5%.
With rising natural gas demand from data
centers and continued capital discipline among
producers, natural gas prices are projected to
rise in 2025 and in 2026, Orgle said.
Such demand growth could provide support for
natural gas prices, which could raise prices
for ethane.
If US ethane export capacity does not grow fast
enough to drive substantial ethane disposition,
increased ethane rejection may occur as higher
natural gas prices boost ethane’s fuel value,
Orgle said.
MIDSTREAM PROJECTS
The following table shows some of the midstream
projects being developed in the US.
Company
Project
Type
Capacity
Units
Location
Startup
Brazos Midstream
Sundance I
Gas Plant
200
million cubic feet/day
Martin County
Oct-24
Brazos Midstream
Unnamed
Gas plant
300
million cubic feet/day
–
H2 2025
Delek
Unnamed
Gas Plant
110
million cubic feet/day
Delaware
H1 2025
Durango Midstream
Kings Landing, Phase I
Gas Plant
200
million cubic feet/day
Eddy County, NM
Q4 24
Durango Midstream
Kings Landing, Phase II
Gas Plant
200
million cubic feet/day
Eddy County, NM
na
Energy Transfer
Frac IX
Fractionator
165,000
bbl/day
Mont Belvieu
Q4 26
Energy Transfer
Badger
Gas Plant
200
million cubic feet/day
Delaware
mid 25
Energy Transfer
Permian processing expansions*
Gas Plant
200
million cubic feet/day
Permian
Energy Transfer
Expansion of Nederland NGL terminal
Terminal
Up to 250,000
bbl/day
Nederland, Texas
mid 25
Energy Transfer
Expansion of Orla East
Gas pPlant
50
million cubic feet/day
Orla, Texas
Q3 24
Entergy Transfer
Lonestar Express Expansion
Pipeline
90,000
bbl/day
2026
Enterprise
Fractionator 14
Fractionator
195,000
bbl/day
Mont Belvieu
Q3 25
Enterprise
Mentone West (Mentone 4)
Gas Plant
300
million cubic feet/day
Delaware
Q3 25
Enterprise
Mentone West 2
Gas Plant
300
million cubic feet/day
Delaware
h1 26
Enterprise
Mentone 3
Gas Plant
300
million cubic feet/day
Delaware
in service
Enterprise
Leonidas
Gas Plant
300
million cubic feet/day
Midland
In service
Enterprise
Bahia NGL pipeline
Pipeline
600,000
bbl/day
Q3 25
Enterprise
Neches River Terminal (NRT), phase 1
Terminal
120,000 ethane, 900,000 refrigerated tank
Q3 25
Enterprise
Neches River Terminal (NRT), phase 2
Terminal
add 60,000 ethane to raise total to
180,000, Propane 360,000
H1 26
Enterprise
Ethylene Export Expansion*
Terminal
550,000-2m tonnes/year
Q4 24 & Q4 25
Enterprise
Orion
Gas Plant
300
million cubic feet/day
Midland
Q3 25
Enterprise
Enterprise Hydrocarbons Terminal (EHT)
LPG expansion
Terminal
300,000
bl/day
Houston Ship Channel
end 2026
Gulf Coast Fractionators JV *
GCF Fractionator
Fractionator
135,000
bbl/day
Mont Belvieu
24-Nov
Moss Lake
Hackberry NGL Project
Terminal
315,000
bbl
Calcesieu Ship Channel
NA
Moss Lake
Hackberry NGL Project
Fractionator
300,000
bbl
Calcesieu Ship Channel
NA
MPLX
Preakness II
Gas Plant
200
million cubic feet/day
Delaware
started up
MPLX
Secretariat
Gas Plant
200
million cubic feet/day
Delaware
H2 25
MPLX
Harmon Creek II
Gas Plant
200
million cubic feet/day
Marcellus
started up
MPLX
Harmon Creek III
Gas plant
300
million cubic feet/day
Marcellus
H2 26
MPLX
Harmon Creek III
de-ethanizer
40,000
bbl/day
Marcellus
H2 26
MPLX
BANGL pipeline**
Pipeline
expansion from 125,000 to 250,000 bbl/day
Q1 25
ONEOK
MB-6 Fractionator
Fractionator
125,000
bbl/day
Mont Belvieu
year end 24
ONEOK
West Texas NGL Pipeline Expansion
Pipeline
increase to 740,000
bbl/day
year end 24
ONEOK
Elk Creek Pipeline Expansion****
Pipeline
increase to 435,000
bbl/day
Q1 25
ONEOK
Medford Fractionator rebuild
Fractionator
210,000
bbl/day
Medord, Oklahoma
Q4 26, Q1 27
Targa
Train 9 Fractionator
Fractionator
120,000
bbl/day
Mont Belvieu
started up
Targa
Train 10 Fractionator
Fractionator
120,000
bbl/day
Mont Belvieu
started up
Targa
Train 11 Fractionator
Fractionator
150,000
bbl/day
Mont Belvieu
Q3 26
Targa
Greenwood
Gas Plant
275
million cubic feet/day
Midland
Q4 23
Targa
Greenwood II
Gas Plant
275
million cubic feet/day
Midland
started up
Targa
Wildcat II
Gas Plant
275
million cubic feet/day
Delaware
Q2 24
Targa
Roadrunner II
Gas Plant
230
million cubic feet/day
Delaware
started up
Targa
Bull Moose
Gas Plant
275
million cubic feet/day
Delaware
Q2 25
Targa
Pembrook II
Gas Plant
275
million cubic feet/day
Midland
Q4 25
Targa
Daytona NGL Pipeline
Pipeline
400,000
bbl/day
Completed
Targa
LPG Export Expansion
Terminal
1m bbl/month
Q3 23
Targa
Galena Park LPG terminal expansion
Terminal
650,000 bbl/month
H2 25
Targa
Falcon II
Gas Plant
275
million cubic feet/day
Delaware
Q2 26
Targa
Bull Moose II
Gas Plant
275
million cubic feet/day
Delaware
Q1 26
Targa
East Pembrook
Gas Plant
275
million cubic feet/day
Midland
Q2 26
Targa
East Driver
Gas Plant
275
million cubic feet/day
Delaware
Q3 26
Insight article by Al
Greenwood
Thumbnail photo: Polymer pellets (source:
Shutterstock)
Hydrogen13-Nov-2024
SINGAPORE (ICS)–China’s Energy Law that will
take effect in January 2025 is expected to
drive investments in the domestic hydrogen
sector as it will provide further policy
support, and enable technological developments
aimed at expanding the scope of hydrogen
applications.
Under the law, hydrogen will no longer be
classified as a dangerous chemical product,
thus, removing restrictions around its
applications, production and storage.
China’s hydrogen sector is currently in the
demonstration phase, mainly focusing on
commercial vehicle application.
When the new legislation kicks in, hydrogen
production and refuelling stations and storage
facilities will be allowed outside designated
chemical parks, and that is expected
to address infrastructure gaps in the
sector.
Hefty transportation cost due to lack of
hydrogen refuelling stations and long-distance
pipelines has been one of the key bottlenecks
that impede hydrogen adoption in China.
Storage and transportation account for about
30% of end-use hydrogen costs, limiting
hydrogen applications in urban public transport
and long-haul sectors.
With the new energy law, development of the
Chinese hydrogen sector is expected to gain
pace between 2026 and 2030. (See
ICIS Hydrogen Topic Page for details)
The China Energy Law was approved on 8 November
at the 12th session of the Standing Committee
of the National People’s Congress (NPC),
China’s top legislature.
It fills a legislative gap since China –
despite being the world’s largest energy
producer and consumer – had long lacked an
overarching energy law.
Currently, there are several standalone
energy-related laws and regulations in the
country, including the Electricity Law, the
Coal Law, the Energy Conservation Law, and the
Renewable Energy Law, but lacked a legislation
that covers the whole energy industry until
now.
The recently launched Energy Law will provide a
much-needed framework for strengthening the
legal foundation of the energy sector, ensuring
national energy security and promoting
renewable and low-carbon transformation.
The law includes nine sections, covering
stipulations on energy planning, development
and utilization, energy market systems, energy
reserves and emergency measures, energy
technology innovation, supervision and
management, legal responsibilities,
supplementary provisions.
Insight article by Patricia
Tao and Yu Yunfeng
Crude Oil13-Nov-2024
SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Shares of petrochemical
companies in Asia extended losses on Wednesday,
tracking weakness in regional bourses, amid a
strong US dollar and uncertainty over trade
policies of US President-elect Donald Trump
which could fuel inflation.
At 04:00 GMT, LG Chem fell by 4.75% in Seoul,
while Mitsui Chemicals and Asahi Kasei were
down by 2.90% and 0.88%, respectively, in
Tokyo.
Formosa Petrochemical Corp (FPCC) was down
1.79% in Taipei, while Sinopec Corp slipped
0.47% in Hong Kong.
Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 Index was down by
1.01% at 38,978.11; South Korea’s KOSPI
Composite fell by 1.91% to 2,435.04; and Hong
Kong’s Hang Seng Index slipped by 0.63% to
19,721.58.
Sentiment toward Asian equities has shifted to
caution following Trump’s re-election on
concerns that his policies will drive up
inflation and prevent the US Federal Reserve
from cutting interest rates further.
The broad dollar index (DXY) rose further on 12
November to its highest since November 2022,
according to Singapore-based UOB Global
Economics & Markets Research.
The DXY, which measures the greenback against
six peers, inched up 0.05% on Thursday to
105.97.
A stronger US dollar makes imports more
expensive for Asia, fueling inflation, and
higher borrowing costs for the region.
Japan and China rely heavily on imports for
their energy and raw material needs.
The South Korean won continued to slide against
the greenback on Thursday, hovering above the
psychologically important level of won (W)
1,400 at W1,406.57 to the US dollar.
The Japanese yen (Y) also touched a fresh low
since 30 July on Thursday and was trading at
around Y154.8 to the US dollar.
Thumbnail image: US dollar banknotes, 19
September 2024
(Costfoto/NurPhoto/Shutterstock)
Speciality Chemicals12-Nov-2024
HOUSTON (ICIS)–Warnings from chemical
companies about upcoming auto shutdowns are
becoming true, with Nissan becoming the latest
automobile producer to announce reductions in
its workforce and global production capacity
after slashing its forecast for operating
profits during its current fiscal year.
Chemical producers have warned that automobile
producers
had started taking unscheduled and prolonged
downtime in the third quarter, and the
trend will continue in the fourth quarter.
For Celanese, the downturn was sudden and
painful, especially for its Engineered
Materials segment, contributing to a big Q3
miss in its earnings and a decision to
temporarily idle plants in the fourth quarter.
Trinseo, which also makes engineered materials,
expects a lot of its customers will shut
down operations during the fourth quarter.
The latest ICIS auto forecast still expects
builds to increase in 2024. The rate of growth
will slow in 2025.
Automobiles represent a key end market for
plastics and chemicals because nearly every
component has some chemistry.
The latest data indicate that polymer use is
about 423 pounds (192kg) per vehicle. Chemicals
are also used to make antifreeze and other
fluids, catalysts, coatings and adhesives.
AUTO CUTBACKS SO
FARNissan plans to cut global
production capacity by 20% and reduce its
workforce by 9,000. The move is part of a plan
to reduce fixed costs by 300 billion yen and
variable costs by 100 billion yen when compared
to its fiscal 2024, which will end on 31 March.
Nissan has slashed its outlook for fiscal year
2024, as shown in the following table:
Revised FY 24 Outlook
Previous FY 24 Outlook
Revenue
12,700.0
14,000.0
Operating profit
150.0
500.0
Source: Nissan
Stellantis is cutting 1,100 jobs at its US
plant in Toledo, Ohio, which produces Jeep
vehicles, according to a report by the
Wall Street Journal, a business
publication. In the late summer, it reported
Stellantis’s plans to lay off 2,450 workers in
Michigan state after it decided to end
production of a truck model.
Volkswagen has called
for a 10% pay cut for workers in
Germany in order to ensure its competitiveness
and safeguard jobs.
According to media reports, the auto major may
close three of its 10 plants in Germany and cut
thousands of jobs.
Additional reporting by Stefan
Baumgarten
Thumbnail shows automobiles. Image by
Costfoto/NurPhoto/Shutterstock.
Ethylene12-Nov-2024
SAO PAULO (ICIS)–A potential US import tariff
of 10% on Mexican goods is looming large on the
country’s export and petrochemicals-intensive
manufacturing sectors, but it is early days and
the worries are premature, according to the
head of institutional relations at polyethylene
(PE) producer Braskem Idesa.
Sergio Plata, who is also the president of the
Association of Industrialists of Veracruz State
(Aievac), home to a large petrochemicals hub,
added that Mexico is not only a supplier to the
US – the country exports around 80% of what it
produces to the US – but it is also a key
consumer of US goods.
Plata said this will be a crucial factor that
will allow Mexico to renegotiate the United
States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) from a
position of strength when it is up for renewal
in 2026.
Although the focus in the past week has been on
how Mexico could be hit by tariffs when Trump
becomes US president – with some analysts
forecasting a negative impact of 0.5-1% of GDP
in a full year – Plata made a call to stay calm
and carry on – for now.
He argues that the tariffs will not be imposed
overnight, saying that such topics are likely
to be addressed within the context of the USMCA
renegotiation, in more than a year’s time.
Moreover said Plata, in Donald Trump’s first
term, he ended up dropping some campaign
promises under pressure from different lobby
groups, not least businesses which could see
input costs spike if new tariffs are
implemented.
“These [proposals would be] important
challenges for Mexico, and I believe 2026’s
USMCA renegotiation will be key for the entire
North America so we can continue being and
become more competitive,” said Plata.
“Regarding tariffs, at this time we can only
wait until the parties sit at the negotiating
table, so we can have a dialogue with the US
government. What I can certainly say is that
NAFTA first and now USCMA have greatly served
the three countries, a success which we should
not measure only based on the trade balance.”
The US trade balance – or deficit – is a key
theme running through Trump’s tariff proposals
as he wants to re-invigorate the US
manufacturing sector, and produce as much as
possible domestically. Indeed, the US
consistently runs a large trade deficit with
China and Mexico, its two main sources of
manufactured goods.
In 2022, Mexico exported goods worth $452
billion to the US, according to data from
Comtrade via Trading Economics; the US, in
turn, exported goods worth $323 billion to
Mexico – a difference of nearly $130 billion.
According to Plata, nothing is written about
tariffs, at least within the USMCA, and issued
a reminder of what happened when the USCMA was
first signed, as a successor to NAFTA after
Trump’s first administration demanded changes
to a free trade deal it deemed disadvantageous.
Despite the furore, tariffs were kept off the
table because the US government eventually saw
that tariffs within the USCMA would also
negatively affect its own companies.
Whether an emboldened Trump, with a clear
popular mandate to implement his promises, will
also give in this time remains to be seen.
“We would be going too far ahead of ourselves
if we already think a 10% tariff on Mexico will
be imposed. We Mexicans must now make it clear
to the US that the commercial relationship
should not only be measured on the trade
deficit, but rather on what Mexico gives to the
US as well, and not just the other way around,”
said Plata.
“Because Mexico also generates North
America-wide economic development. I can speak
for what I know best and only in this region,
only in the south of the state of Veracruz, we
import from the US around 1.3 million
tonnes/year of chemicals and petrochemicals,
resulting in billions of imports. The figures
are important both ways and this will be
brought to a potential negotiating table.”
SHEINBAUM AND TRUMPA
fascinating aspect for the years to come will
be the personal relationship between the US and
Mexican presidents, if any – Trump and Claudia
Sheinbaum could not be more different
ideologically.
Sheinbaum’s backing of a supermajority in
parliament of two-thirds may cause further
friction going forward on top of that caused by
the approval on 11 September of a controversial
judicial reform which is opposed from many
fronts.
The US ambassador to Mexico has publicly
sounded the alarm about Morena’s judicial
reform (see statement here), as did the US
chemicals trade group the American Chemistry
Council (ACC) and nine other industrial peers
who wrote
to the US cabinet to “convey their concern”
about the proposals.
“Regarding the judicial reform, we have the
basis for the state of law in the Constitution,
and that is a framework that provides
certainty,” said Plata.
“The devil is in the details, and in coming
weeks and months we’ll evidently have to pay
attention in the secondary stages of the
reform’s debate in parliament, which must be
open to listen to the specialists,” said Plata.
The Braskem Idesa executive preferred to bring
the conversation back to Mexico’s 2026
challenge. One-party Morena reforms allowing,
Plata said the current Mexican cabinet would
head into a potential USMCA renegotiation in a
strong position.
“We are in a good position to negotiate, now
more than ever, and this is because as a
country we are in much better place than we
were at in 1994, when Mexico signed NAFTA. At
the time, the US and Mexico did not have the
solid trade relationship they have today,” he
said.
“On the Mexican side, many things have changed
for the better. Since the 1990s, we have signed
more than 50 free trade agreements (FTAs) and
the state has now excellent trade negotiators.
As an industry and as a country, we are well
prepared to sit at the table and reach a good
outcome in 2026.”
– ICIS will publish on Wednesday (13 November)
the second part of this interview, focusing on
Sheinbaum’s domestic policies towards
chemicals. As President-Elect, she approached
the industry and travelled to its Veracruz hub,
gaining praise from
Plata as well as other industrial groups.
As President, is she keeping up that focus on
fostering chemicals? Plata said she is
– Read this Insight article for
wider analysis on how new trade policies in the
US could hit the Mexican economy
Interview article by Jonathan
Lopez
Contact us
Partnering with ICIS unlocks a vision of a future you can trust and achieve. We leverage our unrivalled network of industry experts to deliver a comprehensive market view based on independent and reliable data, insight and analytics.
Contact us to learn how we can support you as you transact today and plan for tomorrow.