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Crude Oil15-Jul-2025
SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Neste will supply 7,400
tonnes (9.5 million liters) of unblended
sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) to DHL Express
at Singapore’s Changi Airport beginning this
month for a year, the Finland-based company
said on Tuesday.
The SAF, which will account for approximately
35% to 40% of the overall fuel blend
composition of DHL Express’ fleet of Boeing
five 777 freighters, is produced at Neste’s
refinery in Tuas, located in southwest
Singapore.
“We are excited to expand our cooperation with
DHL to Singapore, a leading aviation hub in
Asia-Pacific,” said Carl Nyberg, senior vice
president, Commercial, Renewable Products at
Neste.
“It leverages our SAF production and supply
capabilities in Singapore, and demonstrates how
we are working with DHL globally to help the
company achieve its air transportation
decarbonization targets using a solution that
is available at scale today,” Nyberg added.
Said Christopher Ong, managing director for DHL
Express Singapore: “This partnership with Neste
to procure and uplift SAF for DHL Express’
international air cargo flights from Singapore
is a significant milestone for us.”
“Not only will it enable us to gain new strides
in emissions reduction in air transport, it
also allows us to strengthen our commitment to
customers to provide more sustainable shipping
options,” Ong said.
The agreement will contribute to a target of 1%
SAF use on all passenger and cargo flights from
2026 onwards, according to the statement.
Neste’s SAF, made from renewable waste and
residues including used cooking oil and animal
fats, is certified for commercial aviation and
can be blended up to 50% with conventional jet
fuel without infrastructure changes.
Neste’s global SAF production capacity is 1.5
million tonnes/year, with plans to grow to 2.2
million tonnes/year in 2027.
Gas15-Jul-2025
LONDON (ICIS)—“The founding fathers of the
Energy Community and the Energy Community
Treaty signed exactly 20 years ago proposed
three objectives: competitiveness,
security of supply and sustainability,” Energy
Community director Artur Lorkowski
told ICIS in a recent podcast.
“And those three are the principles that are
being pursued until today,” Lorkowski
concluded, adding that the principles are
aligned with the integration new countries with
the European Union. Accession negotiations are
now pending for Ukraine, Moldova and
Bosnia-Herzegovina.
The purpose of the organisation established by
the Energy Community Treaty in 2005 was to
extend the EU internal energy market to
southeastern Europe and beyond – with Georgia
(2017), Ukraine (2011) and Moldova (2010) being
the latest additions. This would be achieved by
integrating non-EU countries into the bloc’s
unified legal and regulatory energy framework.
Twenty years ago, reforms in the EU energy
sector indeed centered around increasing
competition through liberalising member states’
gas and electricity markets. In the gas market,
legal and ownership unbundling of gas supply
and transport was one of the key topics. The
main purpose of this was to allow competition,
break up the grip of incumbent monopolies and
diversify sources of supply. Many
infrastructure projects in central and eastern
Europe carried out with this goal in mind
helped to negotiate the price of gas even with
dominant suppliers – like Russia’s Gazprom at
the time.
For example, the
Hungary-Slovakia interconnector built in
July 2015 stayed dormant for years although the
first technical tests, flowing gas from
Slovakia to Hungary at the Velke Zlievce border
point, took place in February 2016. The lack of
commercially viable transport tariffs and low
liquidity on both hubs were cited as obstacles.
Nevertheless, the pipeline did give Hungary
more leverage in negotiations with Russia’s
Gazprom by providing an alternative supply
source, even on paper.
However, while EU political and public figures
may still be using the words “competition” and
“security of supply” what stands behind them
has become quite obscure in the past decade or
so.
On the political level the EU has been shifting
towards ever-greater centralised power,
extending even to attempts of joint gas
purchasing through the
AggregateEU platform. This goes hand in
hand with expanding the European Commission’s
influence through an ever greater and closer
union.
When it comes to the energy sector, climate
goals and ensuing scores of regulation trumped
any considerations of energy costs.
As the Energy Community marks its milestone
anniversary news headlines regarding the state
of the European industry are bleak.
On 8 July, polyvinyl chloride (PVC) producer
Vynova announced the
closure of its plant in Beek, the
Netherlands, by November 2025.
The plant is closing due to a lack of
competitiveness and the weak European market,
according to CEO Christophe Andre.
“The European PVC market is under strong
pressure due to global overcapacity,
persistently weak demand and increased
competition from regions with lower production
costs and less stringent regulations, he said,
before adding, ‘These conditions are unlikely
to improve in the near term.’
Only one day earlier, Dow announced the closure
of three plants in Europe with the loss of 800
jobs – an ethylene cracker in Bohlen, Germany,
chloralkali and vinyl assets in Schkopau,
Germany and a siloxanes plant at Barry, UK.
“This second closure announcement this week by
Vynova Group follows
Dow on 7 July, highlighting the plight of
Europe’s energy-intensive chemical sector,”
said Will Beacham, deputy editor at ICIS
Chemical Business. “Without EU protection and
support we are in danger of hollowing out
upstream chemical value chains and increasing
vulnerability for the downstream industries
they support. More than 5 million tonnes/year
of ethylene capacity in Europe is now under
threat of closure or other strategic moves,
according to latest ICIS estimates.”
Joining the European Union used to mean
becoming part of a free and economically
prosperous part of the world. This had special
significance for people in eastern, southern
and central Europe who had lived for decades
under the oppression of the Soviet Union – a
country based on a false ideology kept together
through severe suppression of political
freedoms and top-down control.
On paper, being part of the Energy Community is
still expected to improve its members’ economic
status through application of laws and
regulations that are supposed to foster
competition thus improving security of supply.
But the reality of the current state of EU
industries stifled by endless regulation
prompts the conclusion that the EU’s real goal
is expanding its own ideology and spere of
influence while paying lip service to concepts
of freedom, competition and market economy.
Ammonia14-Jul-2025
HOUSTON (ICIS)–There is 34% of the corn crop
now silking and 47% of soybeans blooming,
according to the latest crop progress report
from the US Department of Agriculture (USDA).
The amount of corn currently at the silking
stage trails the 39% achieved in 2024 but is
slightly ahead of the five-year average of 33%.
Corn reaching the dough stage is at 7% of the
crop, which equals the 7% from 2024 and is
above the five-year average of 5%.
Corn conditions are unchanged with 1% listed as
very poor, 4% as poor, 21% as fair, 57% as good
and 17% as excellent.
Soybean blooming has reached 47%, which is
lagging the 49% from 2024 yet is equal to the
five-year average of 47%.
Soybeans setting pods are at 15% and are behind
the 17% rate from 2024, but remain ahead of the
five-year average of 14%.
For soybean conditions, the amount of very poor
has decreased to 1% with the amount of the crop
listed as poor down to 4%.
The level of fair is lower at 25%, with the
acreage ranked as good having increased to 58%
and the amount rated as excellent is unchanged
at 12%.
Winter wheat harvest is now 63% completed.

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Speciality Chemicals14-Jul-2025
HOUSTON (ICIS)–The short-term reaction to 30%
tariffs levied on
imports from the EU and Mexico is likely to be
the same wait-and-see approach taken after US
President Donald Trump’s Liberation Day
tariffs, according to
a shipping industry analyst.
Lars Jensen, president of consultant Vespucci
Maritime, said he expects any and all
non-urgent cargo orders to be put on hold from
1 August in the expectation, or hope, that
these tariffs will again be reduced.
“That will mean a short-term dip in cargo
demand on all origins to the US,” Jensen said.
Jensen noted that the letters being sent to
nations describing the level of new tariffs
will not be legally valid until an executive
order or congressional action is taken.
“What is presently legally binding is the
executive order from Liberation Day outlining
the original levels of reciprocal tariffs as
well as the executive order pausing the
implementation until 1 August,” Jensen said.
And if the new tariff levels take effect and
persist, Jensen said many US importers will
have little choice but to resume importing
their goods and pay the tariffs.
“This will mean demand will be at a level
roughly around or slightly below the minimum
level of import volumes necessary to meet
demand in the US and we might see more of a
drawdown on inventories,” Jensen said.
The trade war has already had an impact on
volumes.
Orient Overseas Container Line (OOCL), a unit
of China’s container shipping major Cosco, said
global volumes were up by 4.4% in the second
quarter.
But Jensen noted underlying data that showed
Pacific volumes down by 4.3% and Atlantic
volumes up by 20.5%.
Meanwhile, rates for containers
from east Asia and China to the US continue to
fall on low demand and as front-loading during
the tariff pause is ending.
Container ships and costs for shipping
containers are relevant to the chemical
industry because while most chemicals are
liquids and are shipped in tankers, container
ships transport polymers, such as polyethylene
(PE) and polypropylene (PP), which are shipped
in pellets. Titanium dioxide (TiO2) is also
shipped in containers.
They also transport liquid chemicals in
isotanks.
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Speciality Chemicals14-Jul-2025
LONDON (ICIS)–Here are some of the top
stories from ICIS Europe for the week ended
11 July.
INSIGHT: Further
cracker rationalization could threaten
Germany’s ethylene derivative
operations
The evolving European cracker landscape could
have far more wide-ranging repercussions on
ethylene consumption in the region than is
immediately visible. Derivative units,
especially those in Germany’s Ruhr area, that
rely on the pipeline network connecting
industrial hubs in Belgium, Germany, and the
Netherlands are particularly vulnerable/at
risk.
IPEX: Index rises in June as Middle East
tensions drive upstream costs
higher
The ICIS Petrochemical Index (IPEX) for June
was up across all regions, not least
northeast Asia and the US Gulf, as growing
tensions between Israel and Iran pushed crude
oil costs higher and raised concerns about
supply levels.
INSIGHT: Dow, Vynova close plants as Europe
crisis deepens; EU unveils action plan for
chemicals
In the same week that Dow and Vynova
announced major capacity closures, signalling
the next step in Europe’s chemical industry
crisis, the European Commission has unveiled
an action plan to tackle the region’s
competitiveness problem. But time is running
out.
Vynova to close Beek PVC plant by November
2025
Polyvinyl chloride (PVC) producer Vynova has
announced the closure of its plant in Beek,
the Netherlands, by November 2025, according
to a company statement.
Dow to close three Europe plants, cut 800
jobs, as asset review progresses Dow is
moving ahead with the closure of three plants
in Europe with the loss of 800 jobs as it
progresses a review of regional assets
announced in April 2025.
Ethylene14-Jul-2025
SINGAPORE (ICIS)–The EU and Indonesia are
pursuing a comprehensive economic partnership
agreement (CEPA) amid continued uncertainties
over US tariffs.
The deal is expected to be concluded in
September, Indonesia’s chief economic minister
Airlangga Hartarto said in a post on social
media platform X on Monday.
“The CEPA negotiation process has currently
reached the stage of finalizing technical
issues, fine-tuning, and developing a more
detailed timeline to achieve the ratification
stage,” he added.
The European bloc consisting of 27 countries,
and southeast Asia’s biggest economy have
“reached a political agreement to advance the
trade agreement,” European Commission President
Ursula von der Leyen on 13 July.
Businesses active in agriculture, automotive,
and services will “massively benefit from it”,
she said.
The free trade agreement (FTA) will also “help
strengthen the supply chains of critical raw
materials, essential for Europe’s clean tech
and steel industry”, von der Leyen said.
The EU and Indonesia officially launched
negotiations for a CEPA in July 2016.
“For Indonesia, CEPA is not only about trade,
it is about fairness, respect, and building a
strong future together,” Indonesian President
Prabowo Subianto said in the statement issued
by the Commission.
“The agreement must support our efforts to grow
our industries, create jobs, and strengthen our
sustainable development goals. We are ready to
finalize it soon, in a way that benefits both
our peoples.”
The EU is Indonesia’s fifth-largest trading
partner with bilateral trade between them
reaching $30.1 billion in 2024, according to
data by the European Commission.
The EU has separate bilateral FTAs with
Singapore and Vietnam among ASEAN countries,
which took effect in November 2019 and August
2020, respectively.
Talks to relaunch negotiations with Thailand
were announced in March 2023, while
negotiations with the Philippines resumed in
March 2024.
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energy
Thumbnail image: Container port activities
in Jakarta, Indonesia – 09 July 2025 (BAGUS
INDAHONO/EPA/Shutterstock)
Ethylene14-Jul-2025
SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Singapore’s economy expanded
by 4.3% year on year in Q2 2025, accelerating
from the 4.1% expansion in Q1, but significant
global economic uncertainty persists in the
second half, driven by unclear US tariff
policies, official preliminary data showed on
Monday.
On a quarter-on-quarter seasonally adjusted
basis, Singapore’s GDP expanded by 1.4% in the
second quarter, reversing the 0.5% contraction
Q1 2025, the Ministry of Trade and Industry
(MTI) said in a statement.
For the first half of 2025, the annual average
GDP growth was 4.2%. Full-year 2024 growth was
4.4%.
“There remain significant uncertainty and
downside risks in the global economy in the
second half of 2025 given the lack of clarity
over the tariff policies of the US,” MTI said.
Singapore’s manufacturing sector grew by 5.5%
year on year in Q2 2025, faster than the 4.4%
expansion in the previous quarter.
“Growth was driven by output expansions across
all clusters, except for the chemicals and
general manufacturing clusters,” the MTI added.
The MTI in April this year lowered its GDP
growth forecast for 2025 to 0-2%, from 1-3%
previously, mainly due to the anticipated
impact of US President Donald Trump’s tariff
policies.
The Trump administration
began issuing tariff letters to several
countries last week, with higher tariffs set to
take effect from 1 August.
Singapore is a leading petrochemical
manufacturer and exporter in southeast Asia,
with more than 100 international chemical
companies, including ExxonMobil and Aster
Chemicals & Energy, based at its Jurong
Island hub.
Visit our Topic Page: Tariffs,
policy – impact on chemicals and
energy
Gas14-Jul-2025
SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Here are the top stories
from ICIS News Asia and the Middle East for
the week ended 11 July.
Asia petrochemical
shares little changed ahead of US tariffs
deadline
By Nurluqman Suratman 07-Jul-25 11:53
SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Asian petrochemical shares
were little changed on Monday as economies in
the region work out separate deals with the
US, whose 90-day pause on its reciprocal
tariffs expires on 9 July.
Vietnam Q2 GDP growth
rises to 7.96% on export
front-loading
By Jonathan Yee 07-Jul-25 17:28 SINGAPORE
(ICIS)–Vietnam’s economy surged to 7.96%
year on year in the second quarter of 2025
amid front-loading of exports, according to
the General Statistics Office (GSO) in a
report on 7 July.
S
Korea benzene bound for US hit by 25% tariff;
producers weigh options
By Angeline Soh 08-Jul-25 11:31 SINGAPORE
(ICIS)–South Korea-based benzene producers
awoke to news that the US had imposed a 25%
tariff rate on imports from South Korea
starting 1 August, with mixed reactions from
buyers and sellers.
S Korea, Japan PX bound for US hit by 25%
tariff; supply to stay within Asia
By Samuel Wong 08-Jul-25 14:17 SINGAPORE
(ICIS)–South Korea and Japan paraxylene
trade flows are likely to see limited impact
from the imposition of a 25% tariff by the US
for imports from both countries.
INSIGHT: Europe ammonia
to rise 7% through to Jan on snug supply,
Mideast tensions
By Bee Lin Chow 08-Jul-25 14:54 SINGAPORE
(ICIS)–Europe’s import prices of ammonia are
forecast to rise continually from July 2025
to peak in January 2026 given snug supply and
the ongoing Iran-Israel geopolitical tensions
keeping feedstock natural gas prices
elevated.
India PVC sentiment
softens amid BIS extension, ample Chinese
supply
By Aswin Kondapally 08-Jul-25 15:10 MUMBAI
(ICIS)–Sentiment in India’s polyvinyl
chloride (PVC) market is likely to remain
subdued in the near term, as sluggish
seasonal demand coincides with improved
supply from China following the extension of
the Bureau of Indian Standards (BIS)
implementation deadline.
NE
Asia acetic acid spot trades jump on Japan
plant hiccup
By Hwee Hwee Tan 09-Jul-25 15:25 SINGAPORE
(ICIS)–Intra-northeast Asia acetic acid
trade flows are expanding into July, buoyed
by a longer than expected plant turnaround.
PODCAST: Asia methanol
supply normalizes, uncertainty over demand
remains
By Damini Dabholkar 09-Jul-25 22:37 SINGAPORE
(ICIS)–Asian methanol prices have
experienced significant volatility over
recent weeks, on geopolitical concerns in the
Middle East. While most production returned
to normal in early July, some questions still
remain around demand, both in India and the
rest of Asia.
PODCAST: US tariffs
impact on C2, C3 gradual, starting with
finished goods
By Damini Dabholkar 10-Jul-25 16:06 SINGAPORE
(ICIS)–Trade tensions have been in focus for
the wider petrochemical markets since US
Liberation Day tariffs were announced. In
this podcast, propylene editor Julia Tan
speaks with ethylene editor Josh Quah to
examine how recent tariff developments have
impacted the Asian olefins market.
Arkema targets 5-10%
annual growth in Asia; to ramp up capex –
CEO
By Jonathan Yee 10-Jul-25 18:04 SINGAPORE
(ICIS)–France-based specialty chemicals firm
Arkema is intensifying its focus on Asia as a
cornerstone of its growth strategy, with the
region already contributing 25% of its total
sales, company chairman and CEO Thierry Le
Henaff told ICIS.
INSIGHT: New US 1
August tariff deadline tightens squeeze on
Asia trade deals
By Nurluqman Suratman 11-Jul-25 10:00
SINGAPORE (ICIS)–Asia-Pacific economies are
facing intensified pressure to finalize trade
agreements following a last-minute extension
of US President Donald Trump’s “reciprocal”
tariffs to 1 August.
Speciality Chemicals11-Jul-2025
HOUSTON (ICIS)–Rates for shipping containers
from east Asia and China to the US fell again
this week as demand has fallen after a brief
period of front loading during a pause in
tariffs.
With this week’s decreases, rates from Shanghai
to Los Angeles have fallen by more than 50%
over the past month, and rates from Shanghai to
New York have fallen by more than 33% over the
same time, as shown in the following chart from
supply chain advisors Drewry.
Rates from China to the US West Coast have
fallen faster than on other trade lanes because
of the surge in shipping capacity once the
Trump administration put a pause on extremely
high tariffs on goods from China.
But average spot rates from Asia to the US East
Coast are likely to fall faster
than rates to the West Coast and could be
within $1,000/FEU (40-foot equivalent unit) by
the end of July as carriers stop adding
capacity to the transpacific trade lane.
Average global rates continue to trend lower,
falling by 5% week on week as shown in the
following chart from Drewry.
Drewry expects spot rates to continue to
decline next week as well due to excess
capacity and weak demand.
Rates from online freight shipping marketplace
and platform provider Freightos also showed
significant decreases to both US coasts.
Rates to the West Coast are around $3,000/FEU
(40-foot equivalent unit) while rates to the
East Coast are around $5,000.
Judah Levine, head of research at Freightos,
said during a webinar this week that there
remains a lot of uncertainty in ocean freight,
especially since US President Donald Trump
extended the tariff deadline to 1 August.
“This three-week extension for reciprocal
tariffs could mean that importers from those
impacted countries will resume shipping
activities that maybe they are already getting
ready to pause if tariff hikes had materialized
this week,” Levine said. “But this short run by
only three weeks until August does not really
make it possible to move goods from Asia in
time.”
Levine said that carriers canceled general rate
increases (GRIs) for July and have mostly
suspended or reduced peak season surcharges
also aimed at July volumes.
Levine said some carriers have already begun to
remove capacity from the trade lane in efforts
to stop the rate deterioration.
Container ships and costs for shipping
containers are relevant to the chemical
industry because while most chemicals are
liquids and are shipped in tankers, container
ships transport polymers, such as polyethylene
(PE) and polypropylene (PP), are shipped in
pellets. Titanium dioxide (TiO2) is also
shipped in containers.
They also transport liquid chemicals in
isotanks.
LIQUID TANKER RATES
UNCHANGED
US chemical tanker freight rates assessed by
ICIS were steady this week with rates
holding steady despite continuing to face
downward pressure on several trade lanes.
There is a downward pressure on rates along the
USG-Asia trade lane as charterers are still in
wait-and-see mode. Besides contract cargoes,
there is very little seen in the market. The
tariffs and looming uncertainty continue to
dampen the spot market, pressuring rates.
The usual spot cargoes of methanol from Jose to
China are the only ones reported, leaving
methanol requirements from the region active to
Asia. For the time being, larger parcels seem
to have found a floor in the $60/tonne range.
Similarly, rates from the USG to ARA and all
other trade lanes also held steady. The
previous uptick in activity which resulted from
the recent Israel/Iran hostilities appears to
have calmed and the market to Europe fell flat.
As a result, this route remained quiet this
week, which has placed downward pressure on
freight rates.
There have only been a few cargos fixed, a few
more outsiders have come on berth and are
working to fill space which has led to more
competition for regular owners. MTBE, methanol
and caustic soda are the most frequently
reported in the market.
From the USG to Brazil, this trade lane remains
unusually quiet and in turn rates seem to have
softened. Although availability for prompt
space seems to be somewhat tight but there is
plenty of open space for mid-July into August.
The USG to India route has not seen an uptick
in inquiries over the last week with no
confirmed fixtures. There was only one new
inquiry seen for 8,000-9,000 tonnes
Pascagoula/Mumbai for August dates. Along with
the other regions, freight rates are widely
viewed as softer.
Additional reporting by Kevin
Callahan
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tariffs, policy – impact on chemicals and
energy topic page
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Impact on chemicals and energy topic
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